Cal Newport
👤 SpeakerAppearances Over Time
Podcast Appearances
Look, I'm going to load it on the screen here for people who are watching.
And when you zoom in, you can see these points on this chart starting around 2025 begin to go up.
And then when we get to 2026, they go way up.
And then the last update go way up again.
Now, this graph looks scary.
Even if you don't know what it means, it does create a strong sense of digital ick.
And as you can imagine, the Internet jumped into action to try to amplify that uneasy feeling.
Now, in a recent essay posted to his newsletter, Gary Marcus did a good job of rounding up some of the more, shall we say, concerned responses to this latest update to Meter's latest graph.
Let me show you a couple here.
Here's one.
A tweet that said, AI power is doubling every 103 days now.
It's going to eat everything.
Nothing will be spared.
We are on the threshold of truly ergodic alien intelligences in which human input will be nothing but a liability.
All right.
Here's another example that Gary pointed out.
The tweet simply says, TikTok.
It has a expertly drawn graph that shows highest intelligence on Earth by time.
And you see there's a point where it goes up, up, crosses a tripwire, and then shoots straight up, where human brains become smart enough to create ASI, which is artificial superintelligence.
Then below it is a version of that time horizon graphs.