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Graham Stephan

👤 Speaker
3382 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

The Iced Coffee Hour
This ALWAYS Happens Before A Housing Market Crash… | Michael Zuber

I did not realize that.

The Iced Coffee Hour
This ALWAYS Happens Before A Housing Market Crash… | Michael Zuber

From 1978, we were at 9.6.

The Iced Coffee Hour
This ALWAYS Happens Before A Housing Market Crash… | Michael Zuber

We went to 16.6 by 1982.

The Iced Coffee Hour
This ALWAYS Happens Before A Housing Market Crash… | Michael Zuber

That's 700 basis points.

The Iced Coffee Hour
This ALWAYS Happens Before A Housing Market Crash… | Michael Zuber

The first thing to remember is everybody said that every 1% increase in interest rate, prices were supposed to fall 10%.

The Iced Coffee Hour
This ALWAYS Happens Before A Housing Market Crash… | Michael Zuber

And that frightened me, right?

The Iced Coffee Hour
This ALWAYS Happens Before A Housing Market Crash… | Michael Zuber

I'm a guy with probably $20 million in real estate at the time.

The Iced Coffee Hour
This ALWAYS Happens Before A Housing Market Crash… | Michael Zuber

And if you're telling me my real estate is going to fall 20%, 30%, 40%, I don't want to be there.

The Iced Coffee Hour
This ALWAYS Happens Before A Housing Market Crash… | Michael Zuber

I saw the GFC.

The Iced Coffee Hour
This ALWAYS Happens Before A Housing Market Crash… | Michael Zuber

I didn't want that to happen again.

The Iced Coffee Hour
This ALWAYS Happens Before A Housing Market Crash… | Michael Zuber

So, you know, I had to go figure out what actually happened the last time we did that.

The Iced Coffee Hour
This ALWAYS Happens Before A Housing Market Crash… | Michael Zuber

Yeah.

The Iced Coffee Hour
This ALWAYS Happens Before A Housing Market Crash… | Michael Zuber

So what I found out, this is exactly why I did it.

The Iced Coffee Hour
This ALWAYS Happens Before A Housing Market Crash… | Michael Zuber

And this is why I give it away.

The Iced Coffee Hour
This ALWAYS Happens Before A Housing Market Crash… | Michael Zuber

I don't charge for it or anything like that because I'm just trying to help people.

The Iced Coffee Hour
This ALWAYS Happens Before A Housing Market Crash… | Michael Zuber

That's all I'm trying to do.

The Iced Coffee Hour
This ALWAYS Happens Before A Housing Market Crash… | Michael Zuber

So the first thing I found out was all of these experts, and I'll use quotes because they were wrong.

The Iced Coffee Hour
This ALWAYS Happens Before A Housing Market Crash… | Michael Zuber

prices did not fall 70% from 1978 to 82.

The Iced Coffee Hour
This ALWAYS Happens Before A Housing Market Crash… | Michael Zuber

Interest rates went up 7% and they were supposed to fall.

The Iced Coffee Hour
This ALWAYS Happens Before A Housing Market Crash… | Michael Zuber

Now you could argue, hey, okay, they didn't fall 70%.