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Martin Sustrik

πŸ‘€ Speaker
222 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

LessWrong (Curated & Popular)
"Life at the Frontlines of Demographic Collapse" by Martin Sustrik

And as the night closes in, they can't escape the thought, when's my turn?

LessWrong (Curated & Popular)
"Life at the Frontlines of Demographic Collapse" by Martin Sustrik

Maybe they shouldn't have come at all.

LessWrong (Curated & Popular)
"Life at the Frontlines of Demographic Collapse" by Martin Sustrik

Asterisk, asterisk, asterisk.

LessWrong (Curated & Popular)
"Life at the Frontlines of Demographic Collapse" by Martin Sustrik

The instinctive approach, that vain attempt to grow and repopulate, is often counterproductive.

LessWrong (Curated & Popular)
"Life at the Frontlines of Demographic Collapse" by Martin Sustrik

It leads to building infrastructure, literal bridges to nowhere, waiting for people that will never come.

LessWrong (Curated & Popular)
"Life at the Frontlines of Demographic Collapse" by Martin Sustrik

Subsidies quietly fizzle out, leaving behind nothing but dilapidated billboards advertising the amazing attractions of the town, attractions that closed their gates a decade ago.

LessWrong (Curated & Popular)
"Life at the Frontlines of Demographic Collapse" by Martin Sustrik

The alternative is not to fight the decline, but to manage it.

LessWrong (Curated & Popular)
"Life at the Frontlines of Demographic Collapse" by Martin Sustrik

To accept that the population is not coming back and ask a different question.

LessWrong (Curated & Popular)
"Life at the Frontlines of Demographic Collapse" by Martin Sustrik

How do you make a smaller city livable for those who remain?

LessWrong (Curated & Popular)
"Life at the Frontlines of Demographic Collapse" by Martin Sustrik

In Yubari, the current mayor has stopped talking about attracting new residents.

LessWrong (Curated & Popular)
"Life at the Frontlines of Demographic Collapse" by Martin Sustrik

The new goal is consolidation.

LessWrong (Curated & Popular)
"Life at the Frontlines of Demographic Collapse" by Martin Sustrik

Relocating the remaining population closer to the city centre, where services can be still delivered, where the pipes are still the right size, where neighbours are close enough to check on each other.

LessWrong (Curated & Popular)
"Life at the Frontlines of Demographic Collapse" by Martin Sustrik

Germany took a similar approach with its Stadtumbau-Ost, a federal program launched after reunification to address the exodus from east to west as young people moved west for work, leaving behind more than a million vacant apartments.

LessWrong (Curated & Popular)
"Life at the Frontlines of Demographic Collapse" by Martin Sustrik

It paid to demolish nearly 300,000 housing units.

LessWrong (Curated & Popular)
"Life at the Frontlines of Demographic Collapse" by Martin Sustrik

The idea was not to lure people back but to stabilize what was left, reduce the housing surplus, concentrate investment in viable neighborhoods, and stop the downward spiral of vacancy breeding more vacancy.

LessWrong (Curated & Popular)
"Life at the Frontlines of Demographic Collapse" by Martin Sustrik

It was not a happy solution, but it was a workable one.

LessWrong (Curated & Popular)
"Life at the Frontlines of Demographic Collapse" by Martin Sustrik

Yet this approach is politically toxic.

LessWrong (Curated & Popular)
"Life at the Frontlines of Demographic Collapse" by Martin Sustrik

Try campaigning not on an optimistic message of turning the tide and making the future as bright as it once used to be, but rather by telling voters that their neighbourhood is going to be abandoned, that the bus won't run anymore and that all the investment is going to go to a different district.

LessWrong (Curated & Popular)
"Life at the Frontlines of Demographic Collapse" by Martin Sustrik

Try telling the few remaining inhabitants of a valley that you can't justify spending money on their flood defences.

LessWrong (Curated & Popular)
"Life at the Frontlines of Demographic Collapse" by Martin Sustrik

Consider the EspaΓ±a-Vaciada movement representing the depopulating interior of Spain, which has achieved some electoral successes lately.