Nick Bostrom

So it's hard to know how that all shakes out.

So it's hard to know how that all shakes out.

But in terms of thinking about the big picture, like the question you started with, why I got... It's in one of a small number of these fundamental constraints, it seems to me, as to what we can coherently believe about the structure of reality and our place within it.

But in terms of thinking about the big picture, like the question you started with, why I got... It's in one of a small number of these fundamental constraints, it seems to me, as to what we can coherently believe about the structure of reality and our place within it.

And it is striking.

And it is striking.

It might have seemed, and I guess most people did seem, if you go back a couple of decades ago, that it's so hard to know what's going to happen in the future.

It might have seemed, and I guess most people did seem, if you go back a couple of decades ago, that it's so hard to know what's going to happen in the future.

Anything is possible.

Anything is possible.

You can just make stuff up.

You can just make stuff up.

The problem is not

The problem is not

coming up with some idea, it's like that there are no constraints that would allow us to pick which idea is correct because we have so much evidence.

coming up with some idea, it's like that there are no constraints that would allow us to pick which idea is correct because we have so much evidence.

But in fact, I think if you start to think these things through, it can be hard to come up with even one fully articulated, coherent picture that makes sense of the constraints that we're already aware of.

But in fact, I think if you start to think these things through, it can be hard to come up with even one fully articulated, coherent picture that makes sense of the constraints that we're already aware of.

The simulation argument is one, but there are others.

The simulation argument is one, but there are others.