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Brad Gerstner

👤 Person
1234 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

BG2Pod with Brad Gerstner and Bill Gurley
Liberation Day, Tariffs, US v China Open Source, OpenAI Fundraise, $CRWV, TikTok | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner

in the press so it does work in that way and and i come back to you know i suspect the company's sending a message to anthropic and anyone else in the game that that we're here for the long haul and you know they probably didn't anticipate all the moves that elon's made with x and twitter and and obviously that is is a another deep pocketed player but but boy you know if you're

BG2Pod with Brad Gerstner and Bill Gurley
Liberation Day, Tariffs, US v China Open Source, OpenAI Fundraise, $CRWV, TikTok | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner

in the press so it does work in that way and and i come back to you know i suspect the company's sending a message to anthropic and anyone else in the game that that we're here for the long haul and you know they probably didn't anticipate all the moves that elon's made with x and twitter and and obviously that is is a another deep pocketed player but but boy you know if you're

BG2Pod with Brad Gerstner and Bill Gurley
Liberation Day, Tariffs, US v China Open Source, OpenAI Fundraise, $CRWV, TikTok | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner

in the press so it does work in that way and and i come back to you know i suspect the company's sending a message to anthropic and anyone else in the game that that we're here for the long haul and you know they probably didn't anticipate all the moves that elon's made with x and twitter and and obviously that is is a another deep pocketed player but but boy you know if you're

BG2Pod with Brad Gerstner and Bill Gurley
Liberation Day, Tariffs, US v China Open Source, OpenAI Fundraise, $CRWV, TikTok | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner

if you're on the anthropic, you know, investment, you know, side, I, you know, I'd be scared, like, like, you know, and I've lived through this before. It is a, it is a sport of kings, if you will. And then lastly, one thing that naturally falls out of that is unit economics get postponed. You have to believe in the power law and the network effect. They've,

BG2Pod with Brad Gerstner and Bill Gurley
Liberation Day, Tariffs, US v China Open Source, OpenAI Fundraise, $CRWV, TikTok | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner

if you're on the anthropic, you know, investment, you know, side, I, you know, I'd be scared, like, like, you know, and I've lived through this before. It is a, it is a sport of kings, if you will. And then lastly, one thing that naturally falls out of that is unit economics get postponed. You have to believe in the power law and the network effect. They've,

BG2Pod with Brad Gerstner and Bill Gurley
Liberation Day, Tariffs, US v China Open Source, OpenAI Fundraise, $CRWV, TikTok | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner

if you're on the anthropic, you know, investment, you know, side, I, you know, I'd be scared, like, like, you know, and I've lived through this before. It is a, it is a sport of kings, if you will. And then lastly, one thing that naturally falls out of that is unit economics get postponed. You have to believe in the power law and the network effect. They've,

BG2Pod with Brad Gerstner and Bill Gurley
Liberation Day, Tariffs, US v China Open Source, OpenAI Fundraise, $CRWV, TikTok | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner

In addition to that headline number, I think they've said publicly they expect to lose $5 billion to $7 billion this year. And with an employee count of, I think, $6,000 to $7,000, that's not going to run you more than a billion or two.

BG2Pod with Brad Gerstner and Bill Gurley
Liberation Day, Tariffs, US v China Open Source, OpenAI Fundraise, $CRWV, TikTok | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner

In addition to that headline number, I think they've said publicly they expect to lose $5 billion to $7 billion this year. And with an employee count of, I think, $6,000 to $7,000, that's not going to run you more than a billion or two.

BG2Pod with Brad Gerstner and Bill Gurley
Liberation Day, Tariffs, US v China Open Source, OpenAI Fundraise, $CRWV, TikTok | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner

In addition to that headline number, I think they've said publicly they expect to lose $5 billion to $7 billion this year. And with an employee count of, I think, $6,000 to $7,000, that's not going to run you more than a billion or two.

BG2Pod with Brad Gerstner and Bill Gurley
Liberation Day, Tariffs, US v China Open Source, OpenAI Fundraise, $CRWV, TikTok | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner

So there's some number between the revenue number you talked about and subtracting $2 billion for expenses and the rest is your operating cost of keeping this AI machine going. And I ran some loose numbers and I come up around $15 or $20 a year for a non-paid user just to run the servers on their behalf. Eventually, you might get to advertising. Eventually, you may convert more of them to paid.

BG2Pod with Brad Gerstner and Bill Gurley
Liberation Day, Tariffs, US v China Open Source, OpenAI Fundraise, $CRWV, TikTok | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner

So there's some number between the revenue number you talked about and subtracting $2 billion for expenses and the rest is your operating cost of keeping this AI machine going. And I ran some loose numbers and I come up around $15 or $20 a year for a non-paid user just to run the servers on their behalf. Eventually, you might get to advertising. Eventually, you may convert more of them to paid.

BG2Pod with Brad Gerstner and Bill Gurley
Liberation Day, Tariffs, US v China Open Source, OpenAI Fundraise, $CRWV, TikTok | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner

So there's some number between the revenue number you talked about and subtracting $2 billion for expenses and the rest is your operating cost of keeping this AI machine going. And I ran some loose numbers and I come up around $15 or $20 a year for a non-paid user just to run the servers on their behalf. Eventually, you might get to advertising. Eventually, you may convert more of them to paid.

BG2Pod with Brad Gerstner and Bill Gurley
Liberation Day, Tariffs, US v China Open Source, OpenAI Fundraise, $CRWV, TikTok | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner

These are things we've seen play out over time. They played out with ad models. But once again, if you're going to try and lay chase to them, you got to be prepared to underwrite that cost yourself.

BG2Pod with Brad Gerstner and Bill Gurley
Liberation Day, Tariffs, US v China Open Source, OpenAI Fundraise, $CRWV, TikTok | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner

These are things we've seen play out over time. They played out with ad models. But once again, if you're going to try and lay chase to them, you got to be prepared to underwrite that cost yourself.

BG2Pod with Brad Gerstner and Bill Gurley
Liberation Day, Tariffs, US v China Open Source, OpenAI Fundraise, $CRWV, TikTok | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner

These are things we've seen play out over time. They played out with ad models. But once again, if you're going to try and lay chase to them, you got to be prepared to underwrite that cost yourself.

BG2Pod with Brad Gerstner and Bill Gurley
Liberation Day, Tariffs, US v China Open Source, OpenAI Fundraise, $CRWV, TikTok | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner

He's not doing that to me. It could be both.

BG2Pod with Brad Gerstner and Bill Gurley
Liberation Day, Tariffs, US v China Open Source, OpenAI Fundraise, $CRWV, TikTok | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner

He's not doing that to me. It could be both.

BG2Pod with Brad Gerstner and Bill Gurley
Liberation Day, Tariffs, US v China Open Source, OpenAI Fundraise, $CRWV, TikTok | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner

He's not doing that to me. It could be both.

BG2Pod with Brad Gerstner and Bill Gurley
Liberation Day, Tariffs, US v China Open Source, OpenAI Fundraise, $CRWV, TikTok | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner

Let me, let me ask you a question. Um, since, since we, you, you went down that Avenue, um, I think they've announced, um, Is it 20 million paid users and 500 million total users? So you have a 4% conversion rate. How do you think about paid versus advertising that conversion rate? How do you think about the business model with those facts on the table?

BG2Pod with Brad Gerstner and Bill Gurley
Liberation Day, Tariffs, US v China Open Source, OpenAI Fundraise, $CRWV, TikTok | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner

Let me, let me ask you a question. Um, since, since we, you, you went down that Avenue, um, I think they've announced, um, Is it 20 million paid users and 500 million total users? So you have a 4% conversion rate. How do you think about paid versus advertising that conversion rate? How do you think about the business model with those facts on the table?