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1278 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
SpaceX IPO, Iran War Fallout, Quantum Bitcoin Hack, The Space Opportunity

So if you stack up all these improvements, they're actually much further ahead than the models realize.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
SpaceX IPO, Iran War Fallout, Quantum Bitcoin Hack, The Space Opportunity

If you take all of that as a basket, it goes back to what I said last week, which is we have a real pricing problem.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
SpaceX IPO, Iran War Fallout, Quantum Bitcoin Hack, The Space Opportunity

If AGI is real, the durability of most companies is slim to none.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
SpaceX IPO, Iran War Fallout, Quantum Bitcoin Hack, The Space Opportunity

If AGI is not real, then the fundraising capacity of these companies that are now raising hundreds of billions of dollars needs to get questioned and inspected thoroughly.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
SpaceX IPO, Iran War Fallout, Quantum Bitcoin Hack, The Space Opportunity

History will sort out which one is right, but both cannot be right.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
SpaceX IPO, Iran War Fallout, Quantum Bitcoin Hack, The Space Opportunity

So in that vein, I actually think, J. Cal, I don't think we're going to have like these quote unquote blockbuster stream of IPOs.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
SpaceX IPO, Iran War Fallout, Quantum Bitcoin Hack, The Space Opportunity

I think what happens is SpaceX is going to get out.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
SpaceX IPO, Iran War Fallout, Quantum Bitcoin Hack, The Space Opportunity

They're going to do great.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
SpaceX IPO, Iran War Fallout, Quantum Bitcoin Hack, The Space Opportunity

And then maybe the next one does good to great.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
SpaceX IPO, Iran War Fallout, Quantum Bitcoin Hack, The Space Opportunity

Then the next one will do good.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
SpaceX IPO, Iran War Fallout, Quantum Bitcoin Hack, The Space Opportunity

And then the appetite runs out because you just can't absorb incrementally trillions of dollars of new demand.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
SpaceX IPO, Iran War Fallout, Quantum Bitcoin Hack, The Space Opportunity

And if you think about it, where is it going to come from?

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
SpaceX IPO, Iran War Fallout, Quantum Bitcoin Hack, The Space Opportunity

Is it going to come from the sidelines?

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
SpaceX IPO, Iran War Fallout, Quantum Bitcoin Hack, The Space Opportunity

I don't know.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
SpaceX IPO, Iran War Fallout, Quantum Bitcoin Hack, The Space Opportunity

I think it's more of a reallocation exercise.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
SpaceX IPO, Iran War Fallout, Quantum Bitcoin Hack, The Space Opportunity

But if you look at the S&P 500,

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
SpaceX IPO, Iran War Fallout, Quantum Bitcoin Hack, The Space Opportunity

Well, most people are now defensively moving away from these kinds of things towards the things that are more protected, what the industry calls halo, right?

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
SpaceX IPO, Iran War Fallout, Quantum Bitcoin Hack, The Space Opportunity

High asset, low obsolescence kind of businesses.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
SpaceX IPO, Iran War Fallout, Quantum Bitcoin Hack, The Space Opportunity

Those things trade for zero today, Jason.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
SpaceX IPO, Iran War Fallout, Quantum Bitcoin Hack, The Space Opportunity

You could buy hundreds of millions of dollars a year of cash flow for two to five times right now in the stock market.