Menu
Sign In Search Podcasts Charts People & Topics Add Podcast API Blog Pricing

Ed

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
6849 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Prof G Markets
Is Imperialism Good for Your Portfolio?

That is good.

Prof G Markets
Is Imperialism Good for Your Portfolio?

Now for the tricky part where listeners should either pay attention or just tune me out altogether.

Prof G Markets
Is Imperialism Good for Your Portfolio?

One or the other.

Prof G Markets
Is Imperialism Good for Your Portfolio?

Take your pick.

Prof G Markets
Is Imperialism Good for Your Portfolio?

So back when interest rates were really low, before 2022 and there was inflation and rates got higher,

Prof G Markets
Is Imperialism Good for Your Portfolio?

Any asset a bank bought then has a really low yield on it.

Prof G Markets
Is Imperialism Good for Your Portfolio?

If you bought a mortgage or even a business loan or 20-year treasury, you bought it at a yield of just a couple of percent.

Prof G Markets
Is Imperialism Good for Your Portfolio?

When interest rates go up, the price of all those assets has to reprice to the new interest rate, which means the value of those assets goes down.

Prof G Markets
Is Imperialism Good for Your Portfolio?

So if you buy a mortgage bond with a yield of 2%,

Prof G Markets
Is Imperialism Good for Your Portfolio?

And rates go to 4%.

Prof G Markets
Is Imperialism Good for Your Portfolio?

The market value of that asset has to go down to make its yield 4% too.

Prof G Markets
Is Imperialism Good for Your Portfolio?

Okay.

Prof G Markets
Is Imperialism Good for Your Portfolio?

The sound of your listeners going to sleep, I can hear it now.

Prof G Markets
Is Imperialism Good for Your Portfolio?

So this was a very bad occasion for certain banks.

Prof G Markets
Is Imperialism Good for Your Portfolio?

It hurt a lot of banks.

Prof G Markets
Is Imperialism Good for Your Portfolio?

This was at the root of what happened to Silicon Valley Bank last year, et cetera.

Prof G Markets
Is Imperialism Good for Your Portfolio?

But what's happening now is that assets that were purchased

Prof G Markets
Is Imperialism Good for Your Portfolio?

back when rates were really low, are rolling off of banks' balance sheets.

Prof G Markets
Is Imperialism Good for Your Portfolio?

So you lose a loan you made in 2020, you replace it with a loan you're making in 2025, you're getting rid of something that yields 3% and replacing it with something that yields 7%.

Prof G Markets
Is Imperialism Good for Your Portfolio?

And that was going on last year, and it's going to go on even more this year.