Michelle Hackman
Appearances
The Journal.
Trump's Immigration Overhaul
Trump, you know, during the campaign would say, we're going to deport 15 million people, 20 million people. Now Tom Homan's on air saying we're going to go after criminals. Well... You know, we don't have an exact estimate of how many immigrants in the country illegally have criminal records, but I would ballpark it as somewhere between half a million to maybe a little bit over a million.
The Journal.
Trump's Immigration Overhaul
They have issued a startlingly large number of executive orders, even smaller sort of memos at the agency level, changes that to me suggest this has been an administration in waiting for the last four years that has been really ready to go. I mean, changes that would normally take weeks, months, even a couple of years to implement, they've all done in the first day.
The Journal.
Trump's Immigration Overhaul
That's a much smaller universe of people than Trump was talking about. And I think part of the reason that's gone unnoticed is because Tom Homan has a real talent for at once saying things that are realistic, but sort of saying them in this gruff, tough talking way, which is what Trump wants.
The Journal.
Trump's Immigration Overhaul
Homan is nearly at the very top of the food chain. The only person who perhaps outranks him in the government is Stephen Miller. You know, Stephen Miller, I think, is familiar to most of our listeners. He is the architect of Trump's immigration agenda. He's really the true believer who's sort of at the heart and soul of all of his nationalist policies.
The Journal.
Trump's Immigration Overhaul
And Stephen Miller is now the deputy chief of staff of the White House. Stephen Miller is very ideas-driven, very policy-driven, very sort of messaging-driven. And Tom Homan is very operational. And I can see those men sort of complementing each other in that way.
The Journal.
Trump's Immigration Overhaul
I think that Trump's opponents, as with sort of the resistance writ large, are a little bit worn down. And we're seeing that in a few different ways. The immigration organizations that are in position to sue are less well-funded than they were last time. Fewer people are giving money. And so something I've heard is that
The Journal.
Trump's Immigration Overhaul
they really feel like they're going to have to pick their battles a lot more the second Trump administration than they did last time to sort of say, where are the most sympathetic places where we can weigh in or we can fight back?
The Journal.
Trump's Immigration Overhaul
But I think this administration, broadly speaking, is coming into office in a much stronger position because they ultimately cleared a lot of those legal hurdles they had last time. And so they can go full throttle on a lot of policies this time where people will have less grounds to sue.
The Journal.
Trump's Immigration Overhaul
If these first few days are any guide, I think that we're going to see sort of an unprecedented level of activity to slam the doors of immigration shut and to do so in increasingly creative ways.
The Journal.
Trump's Immigration Overhaul
I really am watching to see whether the raids that we've been anticipating and reporting on are going to materialize and whether they're going to look different from ICE operations in the past. There is a world in which this administration could sort of conduct business as usual or even a slightly stepped up version of business as usual. But
The Journal.
Trump's Immigration Overhaul
amplify it in a way where it looks very sinister and it looks like it's a new scale. And so that's something I'm going to be watching really closely.
The Journal.
Trump's Immigration Overhaul
Oh, that's a really good question. I could try. Yeah, let's try. Okay, there is the birthright citizenship order. There is an order halting the refugee program. That's the program that resettles refugees here legally. There is the order declaring an invasion. So that's the order banning asylum. There is, I'm ticking these off on my fingers, by the way. Okay, you've got three so far.
The Journal.
Trump's Immigration Overhaul
Let's keep going. Yeah, there's the national emergency. So that is unlocking the ability to send military to the border and use other military assets like money, planes, places to detain immigrants. That's four. Okay, four. There is what I would call the extreme vetting order that says everyone being issued a visa needs to be vetted much more extremely than they are now.
The Journal.
Trump's Immigration Overhaul
There is an order declaring that cartels south of the border are foreign terrorist organizations.
The Journal.
Trump's Immigration Overhaul
I would say that if you were to put it all in one category, it is an extreme hardening of our immigration laws to basically say all of these channels that were open to people are now closed shut and reinforced shut.
The Journal.
Trump's Immigration Overhaul
They've unlocked a huge store of money, of assets from the military. So we're talking troops sent to the southern border. We're talking military planes to assist with deportations. We're talking using potentially some military spaces for detention. Does this essentially close the southern border? That is what the Trump administration would argue and lead you to believe.
The Journal.
Trump's Immigration Overhaul
I think it's hard to have a counterfactual because, in fact, the last year of the Biden administration, illegal crossings fell, and there were very few asylum claims being made. And so, you know, they're inheriting a quiet border right now. It's really hard to take that and say, these policies are working because I don't think we're going to see that much of a change.
The Journal.
Trump's Immigration Overhaul
Kate, I think that's a question no one knows the answer to. I think before this, we would have said, no, you know, you can't by executive order change a constitutional amendment. You know, generally speaking, you have to change a constitutional amendment with another constitutional amendment.
The Journal.
Trump's Immigration Overhaul
I think the court has shifted to the right sufficiently such that it's an open question how courts will look at this case. You know, if they look at the plain text, it's a pretty easy decision. It says all persons born in the United States or citizens of the United States. But it depends on how they interpret sort of the history or the intent of the collage.
The Journal.
Trump's Immigration Overhaul
And I don't think anyone can say with certainty what the courts are going to do.
The Journal.
Trump's Immigration Overhaul
I would say the goal is several fold. It really stems from Trump's really central campaign promise to do a mass deportation. That's our colleague Michelle Hackman. During the campaign, you saw Trump almost use immigration as a catch-all. You know, immigration is the source of all of your problems. That's economic and nationalist.
The Journal.
Trump's Immigration Overhaul
I would say the classical use case is children of immigrants in the country illegally, that a lot of people believe it's really unfair for these people to cross into the country illegally, live here for, you know, a couple of years and sometimes much less. Sometimes people come here and they're pregnant, have a baby and that baby is a U.S. citizen.
The Journal.
Trump's Immigration Overhaul
And maybe, you know, 20 some odd years down the line, that child could then sponsor their parents for green cards.
The Journal.
Trump's Immigration Overhaul
I have. I mean, this is a fight that they're picking purposefully. I don't think anyone in or around the Trump administration believes that what they are doing, they are 100% going to get away with. I think they've always thought about it as a, this is a fight we should take up because if we don't, the status quo will remain. And so we need to try to,
The Journal.
Trump's Immigration Overhaul
Even if we fail, we can tell our supporters that we tried.
The Journal.
Trump's Immigration Overhaul
But within about 24 hours of us reporting that, the administration seemingly actually called it off. Why? because they don't like to telegraph to people that they're going to come and arrest them, you know, or else people are going to learn their rights, not open the door to an immigration agent, etc. And so I think what's going on is they're now actually regrouping.
The Journal.
Trump's Immigration Overhaul
We've seen officials go on TV and say that they've performed, you know, several hundred arrests yesterday of serious criminals. But as far as I can tell, that's sort of in keeping with what ICE normally does.
The Journal.
Trump's Immigration Overhaul
It's hard to predict. I think that they are sort of gathering their troops and are going to target several major cities. They're really interested in cities where the sort of largest concentrations of immigrants go. And so those are places like New York, Chicago, L.A., Boston, Denver. And they have the added benefit that those cities tend to be blue.
The Journal.
Trump's Immigration Overhaul
And the leaders of those cities tend to sort of want to stick their finger in the eye of the Trump administration and say, we're not going to help you. In fact, we're going to block you.
The Journal.
Trump's Immigration Overhaul
It's, you know, your house price is going up because there's so many more immigrants in the country. Crime is going up because of immigrants. You know, we're having problem in school because these immigrants are coming and they're not learning English. So it's a whole range of economic and cultural complaints that Trump, I would argue, pretty successfully connected to immigration.
The Journal.
Trump's Immigration Overhaul
When we've asked that question, the Trump administration says that they want to go after criminals. It's an interesting answer because the Biden administration's deportation policy was also that they targeted criminals. So I've asked repeatedly, you know, what's the difference between your policy and theirs?
The Journal.
Trump's Immigration Overhaul
And they say that they're looking at a much broader set of criminals than the Biden administration did. You know, Biden would argue that if someone committed a really minor offense, let's say a traffic violation or even a DUI, that maybe they shouldn't be targeted, that there are some mitigating circumstances if that person has lived here for 20 years, has US citizen children. So suddenly,
The Journal.
Trump's Immigration Overhaul
All those people who have really minor offenses are on the table. The other thing, and this is the way the Trump folks talk about this, is that they'll say, you know, if we come to arrest you, criminal, and your family is there and they're here illegally, we're taking them too. They literally call those people collaterals.
The Journal.
Trump's Immigration Overhaul
And I think the collaterals are going to be the sort of big difference between what we've seen before and what we're going to see now. That's going to drive up the numbers of people they're deporting. But what about people who don't have criminal records? It's a really hard question to answer because there are so many scenarios.
The Journal.
Trump's Immigration Overhaul
You know, a lot of people in the country, when we think of someone in the country illegally, we're thinking of the old school, you cross the border illegally and undetected and you're living here with sort of no documentation whatsoever. That really was the case up through about the 2000s.
The Journal.
Trump's Immigration Overhaul
But now the vast majority of people, it's almost a misnomer to call them undocumented because they're in a government system in some way. If they've asked for asylum, that means they're in the system. They have a work permit. They actually can't be deported until their case is over. And in a lot of cases, that's not going to be for years unless this administration figures out a way to speed up
The Journal.
Trump's Immigration Overhaul
It's a man named Tom Homan, who Trump brought in to this newly created role that he calls the border czar at the White House, where Homan is going to be coordinating across the government to make sure that ICE and the military and all these other groups are all working together.
The Journal.
Trump's Immigration Overhaul
I have, many times. He is, how would I put this? He is a very sort of gruff, plain-spoken talker. He really likes to use tough language to describe immigrants. He's sort of bombastic. You know, in an interview recently, he was sort of threatening gang members and saying, we're going to deport you. And he said, my gang is bigger than your gang.
The Journal.
Trump's Immigration Overhaul
So that's the sort of thing he'll say. But by all accounts, he's a pretty smart guy. I mean, he was a federal agent sort of investigating mass smuggling rings and other sorts of things like that for almost 40 years. And so I think he does sort of have the know-how to pull off some kind of large-scale operation.
The Journal.
Trump's Immigration Overhaul
He called it zero tolerance. You know, he said, we should be prosecuting people if they cross the border illegally. We should prosecute them even if they're parents. And that would have sort of the double effect of punishing them because that would then take their children away from them while they're being prosecuted.
The Journal.
Trump's Immigration Overhaul
That is like the question of the hour, Kate. I have written a lot about the challenges that they're going to face to deport people. Everything from limited government resources to sort of legal hurdles they face that most people are going to need to go, you know, have a court hearing before they can be deported. All sorts of things that they're going to have to navigate.
The Journal.
Trump's Immigration Overhaul
But if there's any group of people who could potentially try to pull this off, I think it is these people. And so I also don't want to underestimate them. And something interesting that I've observed since the end of the campaign is that Tom Homan actually has been really narrowing this promise of a mass deportation.
The Journal.
A New Phase in Trump's Immigration Fight
And so the government says, okay, this is an extraordinary circumstance. We're going to, for humanitarian reasons, let you into the country temporarily on this thing called parole.
The Journal.
A New Phase in Trump's Immigration Fight
The idea is it's supposed to be temporary, but it does, I want to emphasize, really give the government very broad authority to let people in as long as they can say that there's some kind of either humanitarian or public benefit reason to let someone in.
The Journal.
A New Phase in Trump's Immigration Fight
So when Russia invaded Ukraine, there was a really interesting incident that happened where people were obviously fleeing Ukraine. They were spreading all over Europe. But a certain number, about 20,000 people, started coming to Mexico and hoping to cross the border to come to America.
The Journal.
A New Phase in Trump's Immigration Fight
And we had this incident where in one month, 20,000 Ukrainians all flew to the Mexican city Tijuana and came up to this one border crossing across from San Diego and were all asking for a sign.
The Journal.
A New Phase in Trump's Immigration Fight
And so the Biden administration was processing those people, letting them into the country. But it said we can't just let everyone in the world think if you come to Mexico and then walk up to our border, we're just going to let you in.
The Journal.
A New Phase in Trump's Immigration Fight
And the deal was if you apply in advance, so, you know, the government has a chance to vet you and you find an American to sort of financially sponsor you, take you in, be your guarantor in some way, then the government would give you travel permission to fly to the U.S. and live here for a grant of two years.
The Journal.
A New Phase in Trump's Immigration Fight
And I think the way that it was portrayed was, we're going to go after people who knowingly came here illegally, knowingly broke our laws. And so I think a lot of people were led to believe that that is what the crackdown was going to look like. And now it looks really different.
The Journal.
A New Phase in Trump's Immigration Fight
As a border gamut, it worked. I mean, literally the day that they announced this program, no one flew to Mexico from there.
The Journal.
A New Phase in Trump's Immigration Fight
Biden was having a crisis at the border. I mean, there were hundreds of thousands of people coming at the height of it, about 250,000 people crossed illegally in one month. And he had this example of this program sort of fixing a border problem with the Ukrainians.
The Journal.
A New Phase in Trump's Immigration Fight
And so people in his administration said, wait a second, you know, there are certain countries in Latin America where the situation is basically, you know, it's different, but it's just as bad as Ukraine. You know, Haiti, the government, basically the president was assassinated. You know, in Cuba and Venezuela, there was sort of widespread issues with starvation.
The Journal.
A New Phase in Trump's Immigration Fight
And so Biden said, these people are not going to stop coming basically no matter what we do. And so he made this bet where he said... If we let these people in legally, you know, we make them find a sponsor, we have them pay for their own plane tickets, we give them a work permit, they're probably gonna choose that overcoming illegally.
The Journal.
A New Phase in Trump's Immigration Fight
Yeah, so the immigrants, once they got here, you know, were eligible to apply for anything else. So many applied for asylum. A smaller number, you know, probably found other paths.
The Journal.
A New Phase in Trump's Immigration Fight
The reason this program was so controversial is because once this humanitarian parole expires, the person is in the country illegally, and they're basically in the same position as someone else who had crossed illegally.
The Journal.
A New Phase in Trump's Immigration Fight
Exactly. Exactly. The Republicans in particular have argued that this program is illegal because Congress sets limits on immigration. You know, we have visa categories. If you don't fit into one, people strongly feel, well, then you have no right to be in the country. You shouldn't be here.
The Journal.
A New Phase in Trump's Immigration Fight
And a president shouldn't have the authority to just decide to let a large group of people in who Congress hasn't authorized.
The Journal.
A New Phase in Trump's Immigration Fight
His mass deportation isn't going so well so far, and that's a huge source of frustration for Trump, for people in his administration. Deportations actually aren't that much higher than they were under Biden.
The Journal.
A New Phase in Trump's Immigration Fight
And that has the effect of making them deportable. And it's happening sort of on a rolling basis. These people are eligible for fast-tracked deportation because they came into the country relatively recently. So that means if you get arrested by ICE, you don't even have the right to go in front of a judge and plead your case. You can just be deported.
The Journal.
A New Phase in Trump's Immigration Fight
The other thing that Trump has done is that he's paused the processing of any other application that one of these people has put in. So let's say you came into the country and then you asked for asylum. Trump has said your asylum claim actually can't be decided because we've put them all on pause.
The Journal.
A New Phase in Trump's Immigration Fight
We're still in the beginning stages. I think that both are going to happen. The administration has created an app that it calls CBP Home, where it's asking people to report their plans to self-deport.
The Journal.
A New Phase in Trump's Immigration Fight
There is a lawsuit filed to try to stop Trump from ending this program. And in some cases, the court has said, even though a program is illegal, some of the people who rely on it, it's unfair to take that away from them. And so it's possible that a court could rule that way, but we just don't know yet.
The Journal.
A New Phase in Trump's Immigration Fight
You know, we are here having this debate about whether this program is legal, whether the Biden administration had the authority to use it. But to me, the really salient thing is these are people who went really far out of their way to do things the right way and to follow all the rules. They didn't break any laws by coming into the country.
The Journal.
A New Phase in Trump's Immigration Fight
And so it's completely sort of changing the set of laws on them sort of with no notice.
The Journal.
A New Phase in Trump's Immigration Fight
They're broadening the aperture of who we would think of as deportable. So it's a whole new scale that we're seeing.
The Journal.
How Frog Embryos Landed a Scientist in ICE Detention
I mean, she could win her asylum case, which would mean essentially she's free unless the government appeals. She could lose her asylum case. In which case, you know, it's hard to say what the range of possibilities is. Theoretically, you should be able to appeal that loss all the way up through the system and then through the federal courts.
The Journal.
How Frog Embryos Landed a Scientist in ICE Detention
But if she's in detention, the government could try to deport her in the meantime.
The Journal.
How Frog Embryos Landed a Scientist in ICE Detention
Under the law, what she did should result in a $500 fine.
The Journal.
How Frog Embryos Landed a Scientist in ICE Detention
I became obsessed with this case because in a lot of instances that I had been learning about, there seemed to be violations that were relatively minor, which was the case here, too, but were sort of understandable. And you have this woman. She's a scientist. She's at the top of her field. And what she did was pretty minor. She made a mistake that you and I could make.
The Journal.
How Frog Embryos Landed a Scientist in ICE Detention
But I've spoken to several lawyers about this case, and they've all made the same point, which is that this really shouldn't rise to the level of you've committed some kind of crime.
The Journal.
How Frog Embryos Landed a Scientist in ICE Detention
Ksenia, that was the point where she said, oh my gosh, please don't do that. You know, it's not safe for me in Russia. Why isn't Russia safe for Ksenia? When Russia invaded Ukraine, Ksenia got involved in politics. She started protesting, and she got arrested by the Russian authorities. And when she got out of jail, she realized that her, you know, she wasn't safe in Russia.
The Journal.
How Frog Embryos Landed a Scientist in ICE Detention
And when she said that, that triggered an asylum claim.
The Journal.
How Frog Embryos Landed a Scientist in ICE Detention
That's basically right. Yeah, an asylum claim can be as simple as, you can't send me home, I will be targeted. You have to prove it, of course, but that's how it starts.
The Journal.
How Frog Embryos Landed a Scientist in ICE Detention
There are a lot of cases of people being stopped coming into the country at airports and at land borders. And usually there is something. Maybe they've done wrong. Maybe they filled out their paperwork wrong or they violated their terms of their visa in some way, even if it's unintentional.
The Journal.
How Frog Embryos Landed a Scientist in ICE Detention
Stuff that, you know, it's not like they're being targeted for absolutely no reason, but the consequences seem much huger. In the past, you know, immigration officers at the border are given the authority to say, OK, I'm going to let you in today, but you need to come back next week and fix your paperwork.
The Journal.
How Frog Embryos Landed a Scientist in ICE Detention
Or, you know, even in a worst case, I'm going to actually revoke your visa and I'm going to release you today, but you're going to have to come to a court date in a few weeks. And now it's like a maximum, you know, once there's even a tiny problem, you are in detention or you're being deported as fast as possible.
The Journal.
How Frog Embryos Landed a Scientist in ICE Detention
This case has sent shockwaves through the scientific community. People are freaked out by it. People are afraid to leave the country. Scientists are afraid to come to the country. People are terrified. I mean, people feel like anything they do that's wrong, even inadvertently wrong, could be held against them. They could be thrown out of the country.
The Journal.
How Frog Embryos Landed a Scientist in ICE Detention
There have been a lot of instances of people's phones being searched and contents of their phones being held against them, even things they've deleted off their phones. You know, there was a case of someone recently who was literally detained at his citizenship interview. So I think all of these cases, and this is totally deliberate by the administration, they're using these sort of
The Journal.
How Frog Embryos Landed a Scientist in ICE Detention
aggressive tactics that we haven't seen so much in the past to paint a picture that if you do anything wrong or if you're here illegally, even if you are here legally and we sort of don't like some of your speech or we don't like something you've done, you could be deported.
The Journal.
How Frog Embryos Landed a Scientist in ICE Detention
I mean, I think part of this is that they actually want people to leave and they're hoping that these tactics will get people to leave.
The Journal.
Trump 2.0: Trade Wars and Deportation Battles
People really respond to patterns. You know, if it had been one case like this, I think the public would sort of be able to brush it off, but that these things pile up tends to affect public opinion more.
The Journal.
Trump 2.0: Trade Wars and Deportation Battles
It's such a good question, Molly. And I think maybe part of the problem is that everyone in this administration has a slightly different endgame.
The Journal.
Trump 2.0: Trade Wars and Deportation Battles
You know, for someone like Stephen Miller, he ultimately wants to really, really significantly reduce immigration so that we're only getting small numbers of people and they're sort of the best of the best from wealthy countries so that they won't ever end up on our welfare. And sort of that's why things are seeming to head in that direction.
The Journal.
Trump 2.0: Trade Wars and Deportation Battles
But for other people, you know, for example, Kristi Noem, she's the Homeland Security Secretary. When she was in Congress and when she was governor of South Dakota, she took a much more sort of rosy look at immigrants because they were really critical to running industries like agriculture in her state. And so I think she's thinking we've got to get this illegal activity totally under control.
The Journal.
Trump 2.0: Trade Wars and Deportation Battles
And at some point, that's going to lead us to a conversation where we can actually change the immigration laws.
The Journal.
Trump 2.0: Trade Wars and Deportation Battles
That's a good question. I think there are probably two reasons. One is that a lot of Republicans don't see these migrants who are working in similar jobs as them as their friends. They see them as competitors. You know, these people are taking a job that then I can't have. And so helping them out feels sort of directly antithetical to their own interests.
The Journal.
Trump 2.0: Trade Wars and Deportation Battles
I would say the other thing is a lot of Republicans I've spoken to, and this is kind of unscientific, but just from years of interviewing people, is that they're really driven by this sense of fairness. And they can't get over to the fact that many, not all, but many of these people broke the law when they entered the country. And so why should they just be forgiven for that?
The Journal.
Trump 2.0: Trade Wars and Deportation Battles
Yeah, so Trump on the campaign really emphasized not just that he was going to do deportations, but he talked about numbers. He was going to do the largest mass deportation in American history when he would promise he was going to get rid of 15 million, 20 million people And, you know, it's hard to say like what we would expect the beginnings of a mass deportation to even look like.
The Journal.
Trump 2.0: Trade Wars and Deportation Battles
But I seriously doubt that this is it. I mean, in the first six weeks or so of the Trump administration, deportations are actually down from the last year of the Biden administration. That's not a statistic that they want anyone to know.
The Journal.
Trump 2.0: Trade Wars and Deportation Battles
You're right. He has really slowed down things at the border. They had already really dramatically slowed in the final year of the Biden administration. I would say the really big thing they did was that they ended a Biden program that didn't really have a catchy name. People called it CBP1 after the app that people used.
The Journal.
Trump 2.0: Trade Wars and Deportation Battles
So Biden actually already said, if you cross the border illegally, you're not going to qualify for asylum. We're just going to shut you out. Trump said, even if you come to a port of entry, even if you come like legally and ask for asylum, we're still not going to consider you. And so it's really shut down basically any avenue people have.
The Journal.
Trump 2.0: Trade Wars and Deportation Battles
And that's sort of acted as more of a deterrent, at least for now. And so a long-term question is, are people going to be deterred forever from coming to the border? Or is this deterrence-only strategy is going to at some point fail?
The Journal.
Trump 2.0: Trade Wars and Deportation Battles
I think that's somewhat by design. They want to really make a big splash. And so they've started sort of taking on these high profile cases. And one of them is the students who, you know, they claim have participated in pro-Palestine protests. They claim that these people are supporters of Hamas in different ways.
The Journal.
Trump 2.0: Trade Wars and Deportation Battles
And this is a battle that they really think they can win because they think most Americans are sick of the college protests, that most Americans are more supportive of Israel than they are of Hamas. And so that they're not going to be so upset if they go after an international student who, for example, wrote an op-ed in her school newspaper expressing support for the Palestinian people.
The Journal.
Trump 2.0: Trade Wars and Deportation Battles
You know, I have to say I'm not entirely sure. I suspect that it is about a lack of resources, that it's easier to go after someone if you know where they live and they have a visa and you can go through that process. You know, Trump talked a lot about going after criminals, but notoriously people who are convicted criminals are better at dodging the police, right? than everyone else.
The Journal.
Trump 2.0: Trade Wars and Deportation Battles
And so it's hard to go after those people. We've seen an uptick in people, you know, who are here illegally, but who sort of have no criminal record whatsoever, who have lives in the U.S., who have U.S. citizen spouses and children. Those are the types of people that we're seeing being targeted more. But it's a good question. You know, why are they not being deported in bigger numbers?
The Journal.
Trump 2.0: Trade Wars and Deportation Battles
I think we just don't have enough bodies, like, to do the arresting.
The Journal.
Trump 2.0: Trade Wars and Deportation Battles
Yeah, he's kind of the only one in the administration who came in from the get-go saying, I'm not sure how mass this deportation is going to be. I need to see what resources we have. And now that's sort of pivoting well because Congress is negotiating this huge spending package. And so Tom Homan is trying to put pressure on them to put in as much money as possible for ICE.
Today, Explained
Not Coming to America
The way that you have to understand what's going on overarchingly is that Trump promised a mass deportation, right? He talked about this all through the campaign.
Today, Explained
Not Coming to America
He promised huge numbers. He was going to go after 15 million people, 20 million people. And from my perspective, he's not meeting that goal. And one way that he's making up for it is by going for these really big, flashy displays that are going to catch a lot of attention and scare people. That's basically what they're designed to do.
Today, Explained
Not Coming to America
I think we're seeing deportations up everywhere. And even the university crackdown, I mean, for sure, you've got to understand that this administration is gleeful about targeting some of the nation's most prestigious universities. But we've seen that crackdown, particularly on universities, spread. I mean, we had an arrest in Minnesota.
Today, Explained
Not Coming to America
We had one in the South recently. We demand Dr. Suri's release. Free Badr Khan Suri.
Today, Explained
Not Coming to America
So I think it's much broader than just sort of the few cases that people are hearing about in the news. I think that one of the big things that they're doing, and it's a multi-pronged thing, is that they're going after these international students who allegedly participated in pro-Palestine protests. The Trump administration would say they specifically were doing things that supported Hamas.
Today, Explained
Not Coming to America
There was a recent incident with a Tufts University grad student where all she did was write a sort of well-reasoned op-ed in the school newspaper.
Today, Explained
Not Coming to America
There was another Iranian grad student, I believe in Alabama, who actually, you know, his friends and colleagues told news that he didn't even participate in any kind of protest, that he was just kind of keeping his head down. And so it's not even clear what his sort of link was to this whole crackdown.
Today, Explained
Not Coming to America
I think it's an open question, Sean. I mean, I think people definitely feel like it violates their understanding of the First Amendment and their understanding of what sort of American civil society is and should be like. But legally, it's actually a much more complicated question than you would think. I've looked into this and yes, it's true.
Today, Explained
Not Coming to America
Visa holders and even some green card holders have fewer First Amendment rights than we do. And the Supreme Court, you know, a very long time ago in the 1950s has said, you can't always just use the First Amendment to try to fight a deportation. The government actually can potentially deport you because it doesn't like what you're saying.
Today, Explained
Not Coming to America
And so, you know, it could be that the Supreme Court will decide, yeah, that was correct, or they could come back and decide otherwise. No, I think in this country, you know, people have the right to freedom of speech and freedom of protest, but I think we genuinely don't know right now.
Today, Explained
Not Coming to America
That's right. That's right. It has been targeted at foreigners. Exactly.
Today, Explained
Not Coming to America
Yeah, so the thing that I've observed, you know, we've seen this uptick recently in people having issues with their visas when they're flying into the country.
Today, Explained
Not Coming to America
From everything I've seen, a lot of these people are the types of people who maybe would have even had an issue while Biden was president or under a previous administration, but their treatment is sort of much worse than it would have been in a past administration, and that's catching people's attention. And the way I'm thinking about it is...
Today, Explained
Not Coming to America
We're trying to bring up our arrests and our deportations. We're trying to show, we being the Trump administration, they're trying to show that they're taking sort of any kind of immigration violation seriously. And so they've told officers at airports, be aggressive, look for any violations. If you find a violation...
Today, Explained
Not Coming to America
You know, in the past, often what an officer would have done is say, OK, we're going to let you into the country, but you need to fix your papers and be back here in a week with your fixed papers. Or possibly even we're going to cancel your visa and we're going to put you in court proceedings and you have a court date in two months. You better be there.
Today, Explained
Not Coming to America
Now they're just throwing people in ICE detention indefinitely. Yeah.
Today, Explained
Not Coming to America
Yeah, I think one of the big issues is not just this sort of uptick in detentions, which is scary enough, but people who are coming out of detention, you know, there was a recent spate. And to me, it seems honestly kind of random, but it was three separate Germans who got detained at either airports or other ports of entry who then came out and said, I was treated horribly. I was handcuffed.
Today, Explained
Not Coming to America
I was shackled. I was held inside for days and I was begging, you know, let me buy my own plane ticket. They wouldn't let me leave. This is the sort of thing that I think, frankly, people who are coming from poorer countries or, you know, people who maybe have crossed the border illegally face all the time.
Today, Explained
Not Coming to America
But when it happens to, you know, a German tourist or a Canadian and it's something they're really not used to, those people sort of understand that if they go to the media, it's going to cause a stir. And so that's sort of what's happening. And even though we don't have actual numbers of people sort of canceling tickets to come to America, that is the talk everywhere.
Today, Explained
Not Coming to America
I mean, tourists, the German government is actually investigating what's going on. I'm hearing from my colleagues that in scientific circles, scientists are saying, We maybe need to leave the country or foreign scientists are saying, I don't know if I'm going to go to America to collaborate with these colleagues. That seems kind of scary right now.
Today, Explained
Not Coming to America
One lawyer I spoke to who actually represents a bunch of universities, he said, as the odds go, it's still really, really unlikely that if you're coming into the country with a visa, you're going to be targeted. But, you know, he's also saying, am I telling people to be more careful? Absolutely.
Today, Explained
Not Coming to America
You know, they are they're looking for any excuse to get you and they're going to search all information. of your paperwork, they're going to take your phone, browse through your phone, look at your deleted photos. And so he's saying you've got to be squeaky clean because if they find anything, the likelihood that they'll target you is much higher.