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Ryan Petersen

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
2037 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Prof G Markets
Is the Oil Crisis About to Break Global Supply Chains?

Yeah, great.

Prof G Markets
Is the Oil Crisis About to Break Global Supply Chains?

Thanks for having me on.

Prof G Markets
Is the Oil Crisis About to Break Global Supply Chains?

Especially we're seeing an air freight market, which obviously is very jet fuel driven, but also the Middle Eastern air carriers, I think Emirates and Qatar and Etihad, and I guess Saudi, which is the Saudi one, they represent 18% of all air cargo capacity in the world.

Prof G Markets
Is the Oil Crisis About to Break Global Supply Chains?

Emirates is the world's biggest airline, I think, and Dubai is the biggest air cargo airport in the world.

Prof G Markets
Is the Oil Crisis About to Break Global Supply Chains?

So it's just a huge, and those have basically been taken offline.

Prof G Markets
Is the Oil Crisis About to Break Global Supply Chains?

They started to eke their way back up.

Prof G Markets
Is the Oil Crisis About to Break Global Supply Chains?

I didn't see the latest today, but they were trying to bring flights back and then new attacks at the airport.

Prof G Markets
Is the Oil Crisis About to Break Global Supply Chains?

They've more or less ramped that way, way down.

Prof G Markets
Is the Oil Crisis About to Break Global Supply Chains?

So especially Asia to Europe, the air cargo prices are double.

Prof G Markets
Is the Oil Crisis About to Break Global Supply Chains?

In fact, we at Flexport have built this service to ship going from

Prof G Markets
Is the Oil Crisis About to Break Global Supply Chains?

Asia to Europe, we're shipping cargo across the Pacific Ocean, bringing it to LAX, and then flying it to Europe from Los Angeles, which is suboptimal, to say the least, but saving people money by doing it that way and getting it there.

Prof G Markets
Is the Oil Crisis About to Break Global Supply Chains?

Actually, the biggest impact on ocean freight is the Persian Gulf is not that big of a deal from a container shipping standpoint.

Prof G Markets
Is the Oil Crisis About to Break Global Supply Chains?

The bigger story, obviously, by far, is oil.

Prof G Markets
Is the Oil Crisis About to Break Global Supply Chains?

You mentioned fertilizer, some of these other...

Prof G Markets
Is the Oil Crisis About to Break Global Supply Chains?

downstream kind of things that come off of the petroleum products.

Prof G Markets
Is the Oil Crisis About to Break Global Supply Chains?

But the bigger story from container shipping is the Red Sea, which we have not been using.

Prof G Markets
Is the Oil Crisis About to Break Global Supply Chains?

Container ships have effectively not been going through the Red Sea since December of 2023 with the Houthi attacks, these terrorist attacks in the Red Sea.

Prof G Markets
Is the Oil Crisis About to Break Global Supply Chains?

And in February, the carriers, three of them had just started to return service via the Suez Canal.

Prof G Markets
Is the Oil Crisis About to Break Global Supply Chains?

And they immediately pulled out for too much.

Prof G Markets
Is the Oil Crisis About to Break Global Supply Chains?

It was too risky.

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