25 Thoughts, Mantras, and Concepts For Business and Life 5-16-25

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Becker Private Equity & Business Podcast 36 min 1 speaker 8 chapters transcribed
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What are the key investing concepts discussed?

This is Scott Becker, and today we've got a longer form podcast webinar. This is the recording of a webinar we had done with an audience on 25 thoughts, mantras, and concepts for business and life. We hope you enjoy this greatly. The first concept is, it's an investing concept, and this has come up so much often as the market's been up and down

Why is timing the market a bad strategy?

You know, either one of the kids, an in-law, a colleague asks me, oh, should I buy the dip now or should I sell the dip now? Should I sell now because the market's crashing and I'm scared? And the first concept we start with in everything, and people have heard this a million times, but it's been so pertinent recently, is you can't time the market. There are so many stats published about how the average turn of the S&P over 100 years is 8% or 9% or 10%. But the actual average that most investors get is far less than that because they end up trying to time the market. They end up selling out at the wrong time, buying in at the wrong time. And there's a ton of history that shows that if you miss just 10 days a year in the market, a few days a year in the market, you've missed most of the year's returns. Like there was one day a few weeks ago when the market went up 10%. If you had panicked and sold out before that, you missed that. And you can't time the market, trying to time the market, trying to buy the dip, not buy the dip.
These are just fool's errands. And so constantly with that thought, and then the concept related to this that we use, and again, on your list of concepts, this is 25th, but it's not 25th in terms of importance. You shouldn't invest in individual stocks. Your core investment portfolio, at least for the huge majority of us, It should be built around index funds.

What should be the core of your investment portfolio?

And if you want to screw around with individual stocks, go ahead and do so, but recognize it shouldn't be the core part of your portfolio. So many people you talk to, you don't hear – you hear about so much, oh, I invested in Apple. I invested in Nvidia. I invested in this. I can assure you that most of those colleagues that tell you that have not done that successfully over the long run and don't talk to you when Apple's retreated, when Nvidia's retreated, or about their other stocks have done poorly. I was fortunate to invest in a company called Palantir, which has done great. It now went down 12% the other day as it had less growth than expected. Another individual stock I invested in was Astera Labs. Astera Labs is famous for being one of the greatest losers this year in the stock market.
The concept, and again, it's a very small part of the portfolio that I invest in individual stocks, but you get constant reinforcement as to why it's a bad idea and why you're far better off not timing the invest, not timing the market, and sticking to index funds. So that's sort of mantra one. Don't time the market. Don't invest in individual stocks. The second concept is this.

How can past success mislead future endeavors?

We made so many people that have a great success in one thing. And when they have great success in one thing, they often think that this means they'll have success in everything else that they do. I was talking to a founder the other day, an extremely successful founder, and he's trying to deal with the next great concept that he's working on. And this is somebody that's had crazy success, brilliant, brilliant, brilliant. And he spends all his time thinking about big, big ideas rather than incrementally growing again. And what I find is people that have had success in one thing, they have often had success in one thing for the right reasons. They really worked hard at it. They really put the effort into it.
And they often started small and grew from there incrementally. And what I find often in founders is once they've had that great success the first time, they tend to forget what it took them to have that success the first time and how they had to start small to get that kind of success and really find their product market fit. So one of the things we talk about with people, if you've been a founder and been successful, or you've done anything and been successful, you can't take for granted you'll be successful in the next thing. You have to really work at the next thing like you worked at the first thing. The real lesson that you learn from the first thing is,

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