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Demographics Decoded - Unveiling the trends shaping your future

Shrink or Surge? Australia's Future in a Demographically Contracting World

04 Nov 2025

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For years, we've worried about the world's population growing too fast, straining resources and cities. But what if I told you the real challenge of the future might not be too many people, but too few? While a lot has been written about Australia's massive population growth in the short term, today we explore what's going to happen to not only Australia's, but the world's population growth over the medium to long term—and unveil a surprising trend. Whether you're a property investor, a business owner, or just curious about what's ahead for  Australia, this should be a fascinating conversation about prosperity, perception, and our future.   Takeaways    ·         The global population is projected to peak and then decline. ·         Fertility rates are falling globally, impacting population growth. ·         Australia relies on migration to maintain its population levels. ·         High living costs and urbanization contribute to lower birth rates. ·         Regional areas face unique challenges due to population changes. ·         Changing family structures will affect social dynamics. ·         A shrinking population may lead to economic shifts. ·         Environmental concerns are tied to population growth and decline. ·         Attracting skilled migrants will be crucial for Australia's future. ·         Long-term planning is essential for adapting to demographic changes.   Chapters    02:15 - Global Population Peak and the Unstoppable Decline in Birth Rates  05:40 - Migration Age Cohorts and Australia's Future Competition for Workers  08:45 - Why Baby Bonuses Don't Work and What Really Drives Fertility  12:10 - Smaller Families, Weaker Kin Networks and the Rise of Friendship Circles  18:50 - AI, Automation and How Australia Can Prosper in a Shrinking World     About Simon Kuestenmacher   Simon Kuestenmacher  is co-founder and Director – The Demographics Group   Simon is a prolific media commentator on demographic and data matters and a columnist for The New Daily and The Australian newspapers.     He ranks as one of the world's Top 10 influencers in data visualisation. If you can't get enough of the kind of data that explains how the world works, make sure to follow Simon on Linked In or X (formerly Twitter) or any of his other social channels.   Click here for a media enquiry or if you would like to book Simon Kuestenmacher for a speaking engagement. His presentations and quirky observations are enjoyed by audiences from the financial services, property, government, education, technology, retail and professional services industries, among others. https://www.tdgp.com.au/enquire     About Michael Yardney   Michael Yardney - founder Metropole Property Strategists has been voted one of Australia's 50 most influential Thought Leaders.     While he is best known as a property expert, Michael is also Australia's leading expert in the psychology of success and wealth creation.   Michael is a #1 best selling author of 9 books and frequently challenges traditional finance advice with innovative ideas on property investment, personal finance and wealth creation.   Follow Michael on Linked In or Instagram Are you interested in property investment - let the team at Metropole build you a Strategic Property Plan to help give you clarity, direction and wealth - producing results.

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