Discover how a seasoned sports betting expert built a game-changing algorithm to beat the odds! In this episode of the Digital Social Hour with Sean Kelly, we dive into the fascinating world of sports betting, where analytics meet strategy. Learn how a decade-long journey of trial, error, and data turned into a winning formula, unlocking the secrets to long-term success in a highly competitive space. Our guest breaks down the importance of timing, bankroll management, and finding hidden edges in under-the-radar markets like college sports. From leveraging insider data to staying ahead of sharp sportsbooks, this episode is packed with valuable insights you can’t afford to miss! Plus, hear about jaw-dropping stories involving streaking bets, Gatorade prop bets, and the rise of AI in sports wagering. Watch now and subscribe for more insider secrets. Hit that subscribe button and join the conversation as we reveal the strategies behind building a winning sports betting algorithm. Don’t miss out—tune in now and level up your betting game! #oddsjam #nflpicks #prizepicks #nflplayerprops #collegebasketball CHAPTERS: 00:00 - Intro 00:30 - Betting Experience 01:25 - Edge in Sports Betting 02:20 - Break Even Percentage 03:42 - Finding Betting Edges 04:43 - Exploiting Player Props 06:26 - Sportsbook Limitations 08:35 - Futures vs Daily Betting 09:29 - UFC and PowerSlap Betting 11:19 - Small College Game Betting 14:00 - Timing Your Bets 15:06 - Data-Driven Betting 17:37 - Martingale Betting Strategy 18:41 - Edge in Slot Machines 20:32 - Edge in Blackjack 24:47 - Best PLO Player 28:05 - Current NBA State 29:30 - NCAA NIL Impact 34:05 - Are Sports Rigged? 38:10 - Mahomes vs Brady Comparison 40:02 - Greatest Running Back Debate 41:55 - Belichick vs Reid Analysis 45:14 - Phil Jackson vs Gregg Popovich 48:16 - Draymond Green Discussion 50:09 - Father Time in Sports 50:11 - LaMelo Ball Discussion 50:48 - Jokic's Legacy as Center 54:18 - Steph Curry Insights 55:51 - WNBA Player Challenge 57:33 - Finding Cblez APPLY TO BE ON THE PODCAST: https://www.digitalsocialhour.com/application BUSINESS INQUIRIES/SPONSORS: [email protected] GUEST: Chad Bleznick https://www.instagram.com/cblez/ SPONSORS: Specialized Recruiting Group: https://www.srgpros.com/ LISTEN ON: Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/digital-social-hour/id1676846015 Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/5Jn7LXarRlI8Hc0GtTn759 Sean Kelly Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/seanmikekelly/
Full Episode
I think it is, yeah, because it's happening pretty much in every game and the lines will move pretty quick after I bet it. So they kind of know who's sharp and who's not. Like an NFL game, it's very tough to get a massive edge because there's so much money being bet into that market.
all right guys got him back he's been on a sports betting tear since we last talked see blez how's it going man it's going amazing i appreciate you having me on yeah love your podcast it's awesome you've been betting non-stop since you came on every day pretty much but i have been betting for like 10 years but i just made content about betting more like a year and a half ago two years ago so you weren't public with it until you started doing content
Not really, because I like to be confident and sure of what I'm doing. So if I don't have an edge, I don't want to put stuff out there. Like for cards back in the day, I've always been doing that. So I did a lot of content. It's kind of easy for me. It's natural to make stuff. For betting, I wanted to prove myself and then go out there in the public.
Well, that's smart, because a lot of people start doing their content right when they start betting. Yeah, I mean, I don't have anything against anybody, but Gary Vee's an inspiration content-wise, and he says he likes to study markets and then talk about them later. So I kind of took that approach. Do you feel like players can actually get an edge in sports betting? 97%.
It's probably higher, dude. Holy crap. So that's almost everyone betting.
The thing is, most people have problems with like their bankroll. So they'll just bet everything on one game because they think it's a lock. But in reality, the best sports bettors, they're just trying to win like 57% of the time, which means you're going to lose 43% of the time. You're going to have a lot of losses in there. So people look at my videos and they're like, oh, you lose a lot.
But that's part of the game because you have to lose a lot just like anything in life. You have to lose a lot first before you're going to start winning.
right yeah like you said you only need 57 out of the 100 so you're gonna lose 43 and that's good right that'd be great that's is that the break-even point 57 no it's i i think it's like 52. oh 52 is okay like billy walters he's the best of all time i'm pretty sure he wanted like a 60 clip yeah and he's making tens of millions holy crap yeah billy walters what what sports does he bet on mainly
I think he did, like, NFL mainly and college stuff. But he wrote a book. He's known as, like, the best better of all time. He's kind of, like, old now. I think he's, like, in his 60s. Interesting. But he was pretty much the edges close as time goes because the sports books realize what people are doing. So back in like the 70s and 80s, when he was betting a lot, the edges were so much bigger.
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