Episode 15: Week Ahead Preview (November 17-23, 2025)

Welcome to Episode 15 of Dubai Daily - your Week Ahead Preview for November 17-23, 2025, plus Q4 market snapshot. **WEEK AHEAD (NOVEMBER 17-23, 2025):** 🏗️ **Property Launches:** - Elar1s Sky (JVT): Studios, 1-2 bedroom apartments - Samana Imperial Gardens (Arjan): Studios, 1-2 bedroom apartments - Emerge Residences (Meydan City): 1-3 bedroom apartments - Lyvia by Palace (Dubai Creek Harbour): Branded residences, apartments & townhouses - The Tranquil at Sobha Central: 1-2 bedroom apartments - Aurea by Emaar (Rashid Yachts & Marina): 1-3 bedroom apartments - Nourelle by Meraas (Madinat Jumeirah Living): 1-4 bedroom apartments - Golf Hills (Emaar South): 1-3 bedroom apartments - Celesto (DubaiLand): 17-story tower, 272 apartments - Vincitore Wellness Estate (Majan): Wellness tower - Azizi Noura (Downtown Jebel Ali): Premium residences - Mirdad (Motor City): Studios to 3-bedroom apartments ✈️ **Major Events:** - Dubai Airshow 2025: November 17-21 at Dubai World Central - Dubai Real Estate Event in Calicut: November 22-23 - Discover Dubai Properties in Singapore: November 22-23 **Q4 2025 MARKET SNAPSHOT:** 📊 **October 2025 Performance:** - Total transactions: 19,875 deals worth AED 59.4 billion - 10-month cumulative (Jan-Oct): 177,044 transactions worth AED 553.74 billion - 2025 year-to-date: AED 559.4 billion ($152.3 billion) - surpassing all-time annual record - H1 2025: AED 431 billion in transactions 🏢 **Property Type Breakdown (October 2025):** - Apartments: 16,238 deals, AED 31 billion value, +3.4% YoY volume - Villas: 2,549 deals, AED 15.5 billion value, -36.8% YoY volume - Commercial: 689 transactions, AED 1.9 billion, +61.7% YoY volume - Land: 399 plots, AED 11 billion, +23.9% YoY 📈 **Off-Plan vs Ready:** - Off-plan: 66.3% of transaction volume, 83% of sales value - Off-plan value: +76.9% surge - Off-plan volume: -2.3% slight decline 💰 **Mortgages (October 2025):** - 4,880 mortgage transactions, +12.9% YoY - Total value: AED 16.6 billion - Jan-Oct 2025: AED 148.1 billion across 35,554 deals - Q1 2025 UAE-wide: AED 41 billion, +27% YoY **PRICE TRENDS (NOVEMBER 2025):** 💵 **Average Prices:** - Apartments: AED 87,000 per sqm (+7.4% YoY) - Villas: AED 185,000 per sqm (+5.7% YoY) - Overall price index: +0.9% in November, +17.5% YTD 📍 **Price per Square Foot:** - Average Dubai: AED 1,100-1,400/sqft - Downtown Dubai: AED 3,342.72/sqft - Dubai Marina: AED 2,187.86/sqft - JLT: AED 1,780.40/sqft - JVC: AED 1,000-1,200/sqft - Luxury villas: Over AED 2,000/sqft - Luxury areas: +10-12% projected growth 2025 **TOP PERFORMING COMMUNITIES:** 🏆 **Highest Transaction Volume:** - Business Bay - Jumeirah Village Circle (JVC) - Dubai Marina - Downtown Dubai - Palm Jumeirah 💎 **Highest Transaction Value:** - Al Yelayiss 1 - Nad Al Sheba First - Business Bay 🌟 **Luxury Market Leaders:** - Palm Jumeirah: Led $10M+ sales in Q2 2025 - Dubai Hills Estate: Record AED 140M villa sale (January 2025) - Emirates Hills: Significant price rises - Arabian Ranches: Strong performance expected 🚀 **Emerging Hotspots:** - Dubai Creek Harbour - Emaar South - Rashid Yachts & Marina - Palm Jebel Ali - Meydan Avenue **INVESTOR SENTIMENT & BUYER TRENDS:** 🌍 **Top Buyer Nationalities (2025):** - Indians: 22% market share - British: 17% - Chinese: 14% - Saudis: 11% - Russians: 9% - Also Active: Pakistanis, Iranians, Turkish, Germans, Jordanians, Lebanese, Canadians, Egyptians, Moroccans, Austrians, Albanians, Italians, Mexicans 💳 **Mortgage Market:** - UAE benchmark rate: 4.15% (2025) - Floating rates: 2.5-7% - 3-year fixed rates: 3.9-4.75% - Mid-income buyers driving volume **SUPPLY PIPELINE:** 🏗️ **2025 Forecast:** - 37,171 to 44,000 units expected - Only 62% of projected handovers likely to occur 📅 **2026 Forecast:** - 69,000+ units expected - Some forecasts: Over 133,000 units - Only 48% expected to materialize based on construction progress ⚖️ **Market Impact:** - Population projected to exceed 4 million by 2026 - Delivery volumes may outpace demand growth - Potential price correction in mid-market segment - Rental prices may face downward pressure **Q4 2025 OUTLOOK:** 📈 **Market Momentum:** - Steady momentum expected through Q4 - Driven by: Population growth, visa accessibility, developer diversification - Prime locations: Continued price appreciation - Budget communities: Smaller increases 🚇 **Infrastructure Impact:** - Metro Blue Line: Unlocking value in transit-oriented districts - Golden Visa updates: Broadening accessibility 🎯 **Market Considerations:** - Potential moderation in price growth as supply enters - Luxury segment: +8-10% price increases in prime areas - Sustainable properties: Expected to reach 35% of transactions by 2025 (up from 15% in 2020) **INVESTOR TAKEAWAY:** Week ahead: 12+ new launches, Dubai Airshow Nov 17-21, international showcases. Q4 momentum: AED 559.4B YTD (record-breaking), 66.3% off-plan dominance, +12.9% mortgage growth. Prices: Apartments +7.4% YoY, villas +5.7% YoY. Top performers: Business Bay, JVC, Dubai Marina. Emerging: Creek Harbour, Emaar South, Rashid Yachts. Supply surge: 37-44K units in 2025, 69K+ in 2026. Focus on quality developers, prime/emerging locations, and long-term value. Hosted by Parag Kundalwal, Founder & CEO of Consultaa.

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