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Fresh Air

The Housing Shortage, Explained

11 Dec 2024

Description

The U.S. is short approximately 4 million homes. Wharton professor Ben Keys traces the beginning of the housing crisis to the 2008 financial meltdown — and says climate change is making things worse. Also, Justin Chang reviews the Iranian film The Seed of the Sacred Film.Learn more about sponsor message choices: podcastchoices.com/adchoicesNPR Privacy Policy

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Full Episode

0.409 - 26.081 Tanya Mosley

This is Fresh Air. I'm Tanya Mosley. As we head into 2025, housing is still one of the most important issues on the minds of millions of Americans. The dream of owning or even renting a place is in peril. People are paying a million dollars for starter homes, new construction is moving at a snail's pace, and the latest data shows that in 2023, home sales were the slowest in three decades.

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26.761 - 45.09 Tanya Mosley

Many homeowners aren't selling or upgrading because the market for getting into another house is just too high. Renters aren't catching a break either. On average, they're spending 30% of their income on housing. And that stat includes people who live in places that had the reputation of being more affordable, like the Midwest and the South.

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45.868 - 70.127 Tanya Mosley

changes to our climate are also redrawing real estate maps, impacting where people can live and what they can afford. President-elect Donald Trump says some of his plans to tackle the crisis include regulations on construction, opening up federal land for housing, and mass deportation. How feasible are these ideas? And why is this such a dire moment in the housing crisis?

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70.807 - 87.321 Tanya Mosley

Well, our guest today to talk about all of this has been Keyes. He's the Rowan Family Foundation Professor of Real Estate and Finance at the University of Pennsylvania's Wharton School. He is also a research associate at the National Bureau of Economic Research. And Ben Keyes, welcome to Fresh Air.

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87.921 - 88.782 Ben Keyes

Thanks so much for having me.

90.325 - 108.924 Tanya Mosley

You know, Ben, one of the more frustrating issues right now is that there just isn't enough affordable housing. And from my understanding, like so much of this current housing crisis, this can be traced back to the financial crisis of 2008. It's like a snowball effect.

109.997 - 127.018 Ben Keyes

That's right. I mean, I think we can characterize the current state of the housing market as being deeply unaffordable. That's a very expensive market right now. High home prices and high interest rates making entering the housing market or moving up the property ladder very challenging. And I think you can trace back

127.638 - 154.208 Ben Keyes

some of these issues back to the financial crisis of 2008, where we saw a collapse in construction. And so we just stopped building houses. We stopped building apartments for a few years there. And an even longer, I would say, structural change in our ability to build and our willingness to build. And so those two factors have really driven a shortage of housing. And now we're seeing estimates of

154.848 - 162.032 Ben Keyes

as much as 4 million houses that were short, if you think about where we need to be as a growing population and growing household formation.

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