Raging Moderates with Scott Galloway and Jessica Tarlov
Peering Into the Crystal Ball (feat. Larry Sabato)
23 May 2025
Scott and Jessica are joined by political scientist Larry Sabato, founder and director of the Center for Politics at the University of Virginia. They talk about the biggest current threats to American democracy, and why talking up these threats to democracy doesn’t seem to be super effective messaging. Plus, Sabato consults his notorious “crystal ball” for early predictions about the 2026 midterm elections. Follow Jessica Tarlov, @JessicaTarlov. Follow Prof G, @profgalloway. Follow Raging Moderates, @RagingModeratesPod. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
Full Episode
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Welcome to Raging Moderates. I'm Scott Galloway.
And I'm Jessica Tarliff.
So, Jess, today we're joined by one of the sharpest minds in American politics, Larry Sabato. He's a professor at the University of Virginia and founder of the Center for Politics, where he spent decades studying the pattern shifts and surprises in U.S. elections. You've probably seen his team's crystal ball election forecast. They're some of the most cited in the country.
And Larry himself doesn't shy away from calling out threats to democracy, whether it's Trumpism, rising voter apathy, or the nationalization of local races. In recent months, he warned that we're in a dangerous moment, one defined more by emotion than ideology, where outrage is fueling turnout. And independents are swinging fast. Larry, welcome to the show. Thank you so much for having me.
Looking forward to it. So let's jump right in. We're just a few months into Trump's second term. You spent your career studying how political eras take shape. How would you describe the one we're in right now?
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