Chuck Todd begins by examining whether Democrats have lost by enough to force meaningful change or if they're simply tinkering around the edges. He covers Trump's recent controversial moves, including hosting dinners for his memecoin buyers and politicizing his West Point commencement speech, while exploring how "whataboutism" and Trump creating a culture of fear have become pervasive in our political discourse. Chuck analyzes new polling data on potential Democratic matchups and discusses why being an incumbent may be a liability in upcoming elections.Then, he’s joined by political analyst and author of “Where Have All The Democrats Gone”, Ruy Teixeira, who provides insights into America's ongoing political realignment and the challenges facing both major parties. They explore whether Democrats need to move toward the center to win back working-class voters, discuss the possibility of party collapse similar to what happened with the UK's Tories, and examine why neither party seems capable of forming a truly dominant coalition. The conversation covers everything from the Democrats' branding problems and communication failures to Trump's enduring influence on American politics and the potential for viable independent candidates in 2028.Chuck concludes with upcoming Republican primary dynamics, including Senator John Cornyn's hiring of Trump's campaign manager and why it could be an UGLY campaign.Timeline:00:00 Introduction02:00 Have Democrats lost by enough to force them to change?04:30 Democrats seem intent on tinkering rather than an overhaul05:45 Trump hosts dinner for buyers of his memecoin06:45 Mike Johnson defends corruption if it’s “done in the open” * (14:30)08:30 Trump politicizes his West Point commencement speech10:30 “Whataboustism” is plaguing our politics12:00 Neither party has a monopoly on crazy or violence12:45 Trump has created a culture of fear which mutes criticism14:30 The public has become numb to Trump’s bad behavior15:45 Corruption will eat away the credibility of the MAGA movement*16:30 New poll released on AOC vs Schumer and Torres vs Hochul18:30 Being an incumbent will be a negative in 2026 and 202822:10 Ruy Texeira joins the Chuck Toddcast 23:40 What is the current state of America's political realignment? 26:25 Do Democrats need to move to the center to win working class voters? 28:10 Lower turnout benefits Democrats 29:55 Democrats have only changed rhetoric, not their positions 31:40 Neither party can form a dominant coalition 32:40 Despite the chaos, Trump's approval rating isn't that bad 34:25 Could we see one party collapse like the Tories in the UK? 36:10 Could a third party replace one of our two parties 37:55 Voters in the western world feel the system is broken 38:40 Democrats are viewed as the status quo party 41:10 What are some lessons Democrats can take from the early 90's? 43:10 Neither party loses by enough to change 46:40 The DNC doesn't grasp how bad the brand has become 47:40 The problem is bigger than communications 49:40 Trump is the towering figure of 21st century American politics 51:10 What to make of Gavin Newsom's political maneuvering? 52:30 Who could be the Democrats next Bill Clinton? 54:40 What states should Democrats be targeting for future elections? 57:10 Democrats made a mistake not having Iowa first in their primary calendar 58:10 Why has Wisconsin stayed so competitive? 1:00:10 What to make of the red shift in blue states where they didn't campaign? 1:02:40 Party strategists are too out of step with the voters 1:04:25 What will we learn from statewide elections in 2025? 1:07:25 Will Joe Biden become a pariah like Jimmy Carter for the Democratic party? 1:09:10 Being a cabinet member for Biden will tank Pete Buttigieg's presidential hopes 1:10:10 The cover up of Biden's decline will haunt the Democrats for years 1:11:25 Any positives for the Democrats? 1:12:25 There could be a viable independent candidate in 20281:16:00 Chuck’s thoughts on the interview with Ruy Texeira1:17:30 Senator John Cornyn has hired Trump’s campaign manager1:19:00 We’re about to see new level of negativity in a Republican primary1:20:45 The new traffic patterns out of Nationals games are annoying
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Hello there, I hope you are enjoying your Memorial Day weekend that we are uploading right now on the actual Memorial Day or the day that we are honoring those we've lost in service to this country on Memorial Day. There's always this debate, you don't celebrate Memorial Day, you honor Memorial Day. I'm not going to get into the nuances of language here. I think sometimes...
Social Media gets up in arms over that. I have a fascinating guest today, Roy Teixeira. He is one half of the authorship of a book that, had you read it before November 2024, you would have known in advance exactly how Kamala Harris was going to lose this presidential race. Roy Teixeira is a scholar at the American Enterprise Institute, and along with John Dudas, he wrote a book
Das kam, glaube ich, im Frühjahr 1923, Frühjahr 1924 mit dem Titel Wo sind alle Demokraten? Und essentiell jede Trendlinie, die im November 1924 zur Fruition kam, hat er bereits in diesem Buch identifiziert. And as I said, and many of you know this, I've used this book among three or four others as a teaching text for a class that I teach on behalf of USC called How Washington Works.
And as one of my students wrote, boy, I wish I had read this book before the election and I wouldn't have been so surprised by the result. The point is, it's an excellent book, definitely worth your time if you're trying to figure out what's going on inside the two parties. And frankly, is the two-party system going to be able to hold up?
And if we're stuck here with a two-party system, what are the Democrats going to do to respond to what we've seen on the right? And I do think when you listen to the conversation that Roy Teixeira does provide a path for Democrats to become a majority party again and a majority governing party again. But they've got a lot of work to do. And
I think you will hear in the tone of the conversation that we have, we're both a little bit skeptical that the Democrats have lost enough. And I think that's the real question. Have they lost enough money? to make the changes necessary to become a majority party again. In 1988, Democrats lost the presidential race with George H.W. Bush getting over 400 electoral votes.
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