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The President's Daily Brief

PDB Situation Report | December 21st, 2024: Ceasefire Looms in Israel & Ukraine’s Key Moments in 2024

21 Dec 2024

Description

In this episode of the PDB Situation Report: We begin in Israel, where a potential breakthrough could be close—a hostage and ceasefire deal between Israel and Hamas. Jonathan Schanzer, Executive Director of the Foundation for the Defense of Democracies, provides the latest updates. Later in the program, we review the war in Ukraine as it enters its third year. Open Source Intelligence Analyst Ryan McBeth examines the major events of 2024 and previews what 2025 might hold. To listen to the show ad-free, become a premium member of The President’s Daily Brief by visiting PDBPremium.com. Please remember to subscribe if you enjoyed this episode of The President's Daily Brief. Patriot Gold: Call 1-888-870-5457 for a free investor guide. Blackout Coffee: https://www.blackoutcoffee.com/PDB Jonathan Schanzer: https://x.com/JSchanzer Ryan McBeth: https://www.youtube.com/@RyanMcBethProgramming                                 https://ryanmcbeth.substack.com/ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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Transcription

Full Episode

12.529 - 35.483 Mike Baker

Welcome to the PDB Situation Report. I'm Mike Baker, your eyes and ears on the world stage. All right, let's get briefed. Today, we begin in Israel, where a breakthrough might just be on the horizon, a hostage and ceasefire deal between Israel and Hamas. We'll get the latest from Jonathan Schanzer. He's the executive director of the Foundation for the Defense of Democracies.

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36.084 - 58.053 Mike Baker

And later in the program, we'll review how the war in Ukraine has progressed throughout its third year. That's right, a third year. Examining the major events of 2024 and what 2025 just might hold. Open source intelligence analyst and friend of the show, Ryan McBath, will join us to break it down. But first, today's Situation Report Spotlight.

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59.028 - 80.524 Mike Baker

Now, after months of stalemates, after back and forths and failed efforts, Israel and Hamas might finally be nearing a ceasefire to end the ongoing 14-month war. Officials are urging caution, as they should, as critical details still need to be hammered out. However, there is a renewed sense of optimism, which, frankly, has been absent for quite some time.

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81.184 - 104.659 Mike Baker

Reports from Egyptian and Hamas sources indicate the potential deal would roll out in phases. It includes a cessation of hostilities, the exchange of Israeli hostages for Palestinian prisoners, and an increase in humanitarian aid to Gaza. Now, Israel estimates that Hamas is holding some 100 hostages, though tragically, over one-third of them are believed to have been killed.

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105.58 - 124.565 Mike Baker

This possible agreement may mark a turning point in a conflict that has destabilized the region and been devastating for the Palestinians and Israeli people alike. For more on this, let me bring in Jonathan Schanzer. He's the executive director of the Foundation for the Defense of Democracies. Jonathan, thanks very much for taking the time to join us here on The Situation Report.

125.005 - 141.07 Mike Baker

Hey, it's my pleasure. Let's start with a very big question. It's sort of at the 30,000-foot level, and then we can drill down from there. But what... do you think accounts for the apparent progress with the ceasefire negotiations right now?

141.591 - 162.809 Jonathan Schanzer

Well, it's a good question. I mean, I think, number one, Israel's winning. And you can see it across all of the domains where Israel's been fighting. Hamas is on its last leg, 23 out of 24 brigades destroyed, really virtually no military infrastructure above ground to speak of.

163.47 - 177.103 Jonathan Schanzer

The Israelis are slowly and methodically moving through those tunnels, mapping them and destroying them after they make sure that there are no hostages there. So that's working out, I think, pretty well from the Israeli perspective. They also have built this, it's called the Nitzarim Corridor.

177.664 - 203.504 Jonathan Schanzer

It's this new, essentially elongated base that cuts across, I guess, around two-thirds of the way up Gaza. You see this large corridor, now a major base. And so the Israelis have a semi-permanent structure there that is maintaining control over Gaza. Hamas just cannot compete at this point. They've been really knocked for a loop.

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