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The President's Daily Brief

PDB Situation Report | December 7th, 2024: Will Assad Survive in Syria? & Iranian Hackers Target Kash Patel

Sat, 07 Dec 2024

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In this episode of The PDB Situation Report: The Assad regime in Syria faces a growing challenge as rebel forces push southward. Brian Carter from the Critical Threats Project at the American Enterprise Institute joins us to analyze the latest developments. Iranian hackers escalate their cyberattacks, reportedly breaching high-profile targets, including the president-elect's FBI nominee, Kash Patel. Former FBI counterintelligence operative Eric O’Neill shares insights into what this means for national security. To listen to the show ad-free, become a premium member of The President’s Daily Brief by visiting PDBPremium.com. Please remember to subscribe if you enjoyed this episode of The President's Daily Brief. YouTube: youtube.com/@presidentsdailybrief Blackout Coffee: https://www.blackoutcoffee.com/PDB Patriot Gold: Call 1-888-870-5457 for a free investor guide. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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Transcription

Chapter 1: What is the main topic of this episode?

12.372 - 29.552 Mike Baker

Welcome to the PDB Situation Report. I'm Mike Baker. Your eyes and ears on the world stage. And this weekend, our Situation Report is coming to you from London. Now, that's in the United Kingdom. I'm just here for a few days getting my knighthood. It's very exciting. All right, let's get briefed.

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Chapter 2: What challenges is Assad facing in Syria?

30.012 - 49.805 Mike Baker

Start things off in Syria, where rebel forces continue their advance south, putting President Assad's regime on the defensive. Brian Carter from the Critical Threats Project at the American Enterprise Institute will join us to break down the latest developments in this incredibly complex situation. And isn't that what the Middle East needed now? More chaos.

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Chapter 3: How are Iranian hackers targeting the U.S.?

50.485 - 70.027 Mike Baker

Next, we'll shift stateside, where Iranian hackers are ramping up their cyber attacks, reportedly breaching the President-elect's nominee for FBI Director, Kash Patel. We'll get insights from former FBI counterintelligence operative and founding partner of the Georgetown Group, Eric O'Neill. But first, the Situation Report Spotlight.

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70.347 - 94.711 Mike Baker

The civil war in Syria broke wide open this week after rebels achieved significant victories by capturing two major cities, Aleppo and Hama, in a rapid offensive that has shaken the Assad regime's hold on the region. The fall of Aleppo a long-contested urban stronghold, marks a symbolic and strategic blow to the government, while Hamas capture further isolates Damascus, the regime's capital.

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95.351 - 115.278 Mike Baker

These developments suggest a dramatic shift in momentum, with rebel factions increasingly uniting against President Assad's forces, who now appear to be in retreat. Joining me now for more on this is Brian Carter. He's the Middle East Portfolio Manager for the Critical Threats Project at the American Enterprise Institute. Brian, welcome to the show.

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115.905 - 116.505 Brian Carter

Thanks for having me.

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116.985 - 124.328 Mike Baker

Absolutely. Listen, let's start with a sort of a generic question here about Syria. How screwed is the region?

124.788 - 145.274 Brian Carter

I don't know how badly this will impact the region yet, but Assad is definitely in big trouble. And I think one of the things that we have to look at as we watch the regime sort of collapse and crumble is what other groups are going to take advantage of this situation and exploit it to their own ends. So for me, the big one to watch is going to be ISIS.

145.874 - 163.647 Brian Carter

which has really grown in strength in some of the regime areas, such as the central Syrian desert, in the past couple of years. And I think that will have big impacts for the main U.S. priority in Syria for the past 10 years now, which has been the defeat of ISIS.

164.027 - 186.989 Mike Baker

Can you set the table? I mean, again, this... I'd mentioned at the top of the show that this is a complex situation. That's putting it mildly. But for the viewers' sake, can you kind of set the table on the Rebels' side? Who are the Rebels? Where did they start from? How would you categorize them in terms of other groups out there in the Middle East? Sure.

187.029 - 201.842 Brian Carter

So I'll start with the big one, Hayat al-Tahrir al-Sham, which is the main opposition group that is conducting the offensive in kind of the north and western areas of Syria right now. So it was created by a man named Abu Muhammad Jolani.

Chapter 4: Who are the key players in the Syrian conflict?

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962.19 - 986.672 Mike Baker

Let me bring back our guest, Brian Carter of the American Enterprise Institute. Brian, thanks very much for sticking around. We'll need about another 12 hours, it seems, to sort through the complexity of the Syrian situation. But where do you think, or how would you describe, let me put it that way, how would you describe the current U.S. administration's position on what's happening in Syria.

Chapter 5: What is the current status of the rebel forces?

Chapter 6: How has U.S. policy affected the situation in Syria?

Chapter 7: What implications does the situation have for national security?

Chapter 8: What are the chances of Assad's regime collapsing?

1293.525 - 1308.811 Brian Carter

So for example, HTS founded a sort of like a war college in their controlled areas that began producing more professional military officers. And I think that's really played a role in this offensive.

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1309.491 - 1336.663 Mike Baker

Just to recap a little bit, because this is, for me, one of the fascinating parts here is the outside players. So Russia is providing some support. They are providing some assistance. Iran is providing some assistance, all to the Assad regime. So you have that element. On the rebel side, you've got – let's separate the U.S. and the SDF from now. Is there any coordination – I should ask this.

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1336.743 - 1344.531 Mike Baker

Is there any coordination between the SDF, which is backed by the U.S., and the HTS and other elements of that rebel group?

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1345.192 - 1370.632 Brian Carter

Coordination that's going on between HTS and SDF is very – very tactical in nature and very designed around making safe routes for evacuation and stuff like that. For example, when HTS took Aleppo, they created a safe zone for the SDF to begin evacuating their fighters from Aleppo.

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1372.193 - 1394.827 Brian Carter

In fact, one of the things HTS did was they tried to prevent some of the more, I'll say, thuggish and more militantly Salafi jihadi factions backed by Turkey from interfering with the SDF's evacuation.

1395.107 - 1420.582 Mike Baker

Well, look, the com car is jammed, but we haven't even talked about Hezbollah. Hezbollah is sending fighters. into Syria to help. So yeah, we've got more to talk about here, Brian. And so I hope you'll come back. When we call, please pick up the phone. Brian Carter, Middle East Portfolio Manager for the Critical Threats Project at the American Enterprise Institute. Look, man, really appreciate it.

1420.602 - 1446.196 Mike Baker

Thank you so much for your time. Wow. You thought the Middle East was complicated and then Syria kicks off. OK, coming up next, Iranian hackers are ramping up their cyber attacks, now reportedly targeting key members of Trump's incoming administration. We'll explore what that means for U.S. security with former FBI counterintelligence operative Eric O'Neill. And he'll be with us when we come back.

1447.048 - 1466.866 Mike Baker

Hey, Mike Baker here. Look, it's been a month, right, since America wrapped up a historic election. You might have heard something about it. Yeah, it just happened. While the White House may be preparing for change, as they always do, the core challenges facing the country, well, they frankly remain the same. Look, the dollar continues its decline as the U.S.

1467.067 - 1492.825 Mike Baker

adds, get this, $100,000 in new debt every second. Yeah. Oh, there goes another 100,000. Oh, and another. And well, you see what I'm saying? It just keeps adding up. Meanwhile, BRICS nations, right, are moving forward with what they call the unit. Catchy name. Their new global currency pegged 40% to gold and 60% to BRICS member currencies. Yeah, they're attacking the dollar.

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