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This American Life

859: Chaos Graph

Sun, 27 Apr 2025

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People immersed in chaos try to solve for what it all adds up to. Visit thisamericanlife.org/lifepartners to sign up for our premium subscription.Prologue: A scientist who is used to organizing data starts tracking scientific meetings that seem to exist only on paper—meetings that might decide the fate of years of research. The NIH website shows one reality; the empty conference rooms tell another story. She graphs the chaos. (9 minutes)Act One: American doctors returning from Gaza compare notes and start to see a pattern. (28 minutes)Act Two: A woman watches her partner get taken in handcuffs with no explanation. Days later, she spots him in the most unexpected place. The coordinates of her life suddenly don't make sense as she navigates the bewildering map of the US immigration system. (23 minutes)Transcripts are available at thisamericanlife.orgThis American Life privacy policy.Learn more about sponsor message choices.

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Transcription

Chapter 1: Who is Annika Barber and what chaos is she tracking in science funding?

1.553 - 23.195 Hannah Jaffe-Walt (Host)

It's This American Life. I'm Hannah Jaffe-Walt sitting in for Ira Glass. I've been talking to someone here and there over the last couple of months about a situation she's in. And I think she typifies the thing we're going to try to do in this episode. So I'd like you to meet her. Her name is Annika Barber. She's a scientist, a molecular biologist at Rutgers University, a runner.

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23.495 - 34.664 Hannah Jaffe-Walt (Host)

She's got purple hair. And a particular way of organizing the world around her. Her books, organized topically and then by height. Her lab, color-coded labels.

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35.264 - 42.149 Annika Barber (Scientist and Molecular Biologist)

I also track how many days of the year my husband eats pizza and I make a chart of it. He's really into pizza. So sometimes I just like to have data.

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42.189 - 42.83 Hannah Jaffe-Walt (Host)

Wait, wait, wait.

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42.93 - 64.538 Annika Barber (Scientist and Molecular Biologist)

Why? Why do you do that? So my husband really can't go 24 hours without talking about pizza. So last year I accused him of talking about pizza every day and he swore he didn't. And I was like, I really think you do. And so starting in January of this year, I said that for 2025, I was going to log every day that I heard him say the word pizza as well as every time he ate pizza for the year.

65.874 - 75.611 Annika Barber (Scientist and Molecular Biologist)

He actually eats less pizza than I would expect for the amount he talks about pizza. Like the consumption to discussion ratio is not what I expected it would be. He's only had pizza 14 times this year.

Chapter 2: What happened to NIH scientific meetings during the Trump administration freeze?

76.621 - 94.294 Hannah Jaffe-Walt (Host)

Lately, Annika has been trying to get her mind around a new situation that is deeply confusing for her and lots of people. She's tracking scientific meetings that are not happening. When President Trump was inaugurated, he put a freeze on research grants.

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95.055 - 114.242 Hannah Jaffe-Walt (Host)

This meant the meetings where scientists like Annika get together at the National Institutes of Health to assess new research, they're called NIH study sections, those meetings were off. But then a judge said the administration couldn't pause all research grants, so the meetings were theoretically back on.

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115.143 - 134.07 Hannah Jaffe-Walt (Host)

They were listed on an NIH website as scheduled, but Annika says they did not seem to be happening. The website showed they were, but scientists were saying they weren't. Scientists who had submitted grants literally had no idea if their grant had been reviewed and moved on to the next step of the funding process.

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135.05 - 142.794 Hannah Jaffe-Walt (Host)

But Annika learned there was a place you could get a way better picture of whether a meeting was going to happen or had already happened.

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143.655 - 166.058 Annika Barber (Scientist and Molecular Biologist)

I had never even heard of the Federal Register in my American taxpaying voting life. What is the Federal Register? The Federal Register is where all notices of open public meetings that may be happening in the federal government are required to be posted. And for some reason, NIH study sections do have to be posted to the Federal Register at least 15 days before they meet.

Chapter 3: How did Annika Barber graph the chaotic state of NIH meetings and grants?

166.678 - 191.922 Hannah Jaffe-Walt (Host)

And if they're not posted to the Federal Register, they cannot meet. It's a strange feeling knowing you're in the middle of an upending. knowing that something fundamental to the way that you live is changing. But you can't understand or see the scale of change as it's happening. You just can't. You have to wait. What I like about Annika is she rejects this. She is not waiting.

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191.942 - 210.846 Hannah Jaffe-Walt (Host)

Annika immediately began scraping data from federal websites, finding all the meetings that were supposed to happen, cross-referencing them with the Federal Register, reaching out to scientists to see if the supposedly scheduled meetings did in fact occur, compiled all that into a Google spreadsheet, and posted it online.

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212.026 - 227.551 Hannah Jaffe-Walt (Host)

Anxious and confused scientists all over America began consulting Annika's spreadsheet and passing it around to see, is my study section actually happening? Has my grant been reviewed? Is there any point in submitting my next grant? Will I be able to keep my lab open?

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228.212 - 235.434 Annika Barber (Scientist and Molecular Biologist)

There are tens of thousands of scientists whose grants depend on this happening who are all wondering what's going on.

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235.834 - 237.675 Hannah Jaffe-Walt (Host)

How much science has not happened?

239.252 - 248.897 Annika Barber (Scientist and Molecular Biologist)

So let's see. Right now we are at 182 meetings that have not happened.

248.917 - 252.139 Hannah Jaffe-Walt (Host)

182 meetings. How many grants is that?

253.4 - 275.234 Annika Barber (Scientist and Molecular Biologist)

You know, if we assume roughly 100 grants would have gotten reviewed at each meeting, you know, we're talking about at least 18,000 grants that didn't get reviewed. Wow. Wow. And that's 18,000 grants across all kinds of things. I mean, you know, very basic science. You know, just scrolling through here, I've got things like adaptive immunity and bacterial virulence.

275.694 - 293.902 Annika Barber (Scientist and Molecular Biologist)

But then we also have things like addiction risk and learning and memory and decision making and therapeutic immune regulation. We have training neuroscientists and physician scientists. And we have studies looking at dentistry and eye diseases. Those aren't meeting.

Chapter 4: What are American medical workers witnessing in Gaza during the war?

410.103 - 426.868 Hannah Jaffe-Walt (Host)

So will that stuff that you reviewed get funded? I don't know. Was there a part of you that felt like, are we chumps? Yes, absolutely.

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427.289 - 447.746 Annika Barber (Scientist and Molecular Biologist)

You know, it feels like we're fiddling while Rome burns, talking about some cool genes and worms and mice and all the interesting genome-wide association studies that we could do if money keeps existing. And yeah, are we chumps? Are we participating in furthering something or nothing? Are we just wasting our time?

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450.322 - 467.292 Hannah Jaffe-Walt (Host)

The thing that is killing her is not knowing the shape of the new normal. How many grants will now be funded compared to before? Half? A quarter? Which scientists will get funding? What kind of research? There's no data she can turn to that will tell her that.

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468.113 - 478.039 Annika Barber (Scientist and Molecular Biologist)

And so I need the data of how bad is it? You know, I think a lot of us are used to approaching problems as something that we can...

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479.13 - 499.358 Annika Barber (Scientist and Molecular Biologist)

not necessarily solve with data, but that we can find the edges of with data and get our arms around the problem and define the problem by figuring out what the data are and what the... But it might be possible that that's not going to happen in this case, that there might not be... That does say I'm starting to get that vibe.

499.378 - 514.745 Annika Barber (Scientist and Molecular Biologist)

Yeah, you know, it becomes one of those things where, you know, can you graph chaos? Maybe not. Can you feel better trying to graph chaos? Also, maybe not.

515.766 - 536.898 Hannah Jaffe-Walt (Host)

Will she continue to try to graph the chaos? Yes, she will. Today's show is full of people who do not wait for the chaos to settle. People who run toward it, who will take whatever little data they have available to them and try to make it make sense. These are people who get answers. Stay with us.

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Chapter 5: How many children have been injured by gunshots in Gaza according to US doctors?

743.356 - 759.709 Dr. Thayer Ahmed (Palestinian-American Doctor, Chicago)

You know, when people look at me, they assume I'm Palestinian or something, but I'm not. I lived in Haifa. That was from 2004 to 5. And I worked with, like, an Arab-Jewish cooperative that doesn't exist anymore. And during that time, I toured around in the West Bank. I was never able to go to Gaza, but toured around in the West Bank a lot.

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760.229 - 783.23 Dr. Mark Perlmutter (Orthopedic Surgeon, North Carolina)

So Mark sat next to Feroz. And when they arrived at the European hospital, that's the name of the hospital, in Han Yunis, in Gaza, their team dropped off their thousands of pounds of supplies. European Hospital was built for just over 200 beds, but is taking care of over a thousand people. And families are living in every corner of the hospital. Mark hadn't seen anything like it.

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784.13 - 791.552 Dr. Mark Perlmutter (Orthopedic Surgeon, North Carolina)

Froze hadn't either, but he told me he didn't linger on that long. A nurse took them on a quick tour, let them know where everything was.

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792.212 - 809.087 Dr. Thayer Ahmed (Palestinian-American Doctor, Chicago)

The operating room, the ICU. The nurse that was showing us around didn't really speak English very well. And she just pointed at these two kids and just pointed at her head and said, shot, shot. There were four kids in the hospital with gunshot wounds to the head. I just thought that that was unbelievable. And I just assumed that she was just wrong.

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809.107 - 821.336 Dr. Thayer Ahmed (Palestinian-American Doctor, Chicago)

I didn't think she was lying, but she was just incorrect. That probably was a shrapnel injury or something like that. But then I looked at these kids and they didn't have any other evidence of an explosive injury. And then we pulled up their CT scans and sure enough, it did look like they had been shot in the head.

821.356 - 825.96 Dr. Thayer Ahmed (Palestinian-American Doctor, Chicago)

And then we went on and found two more kids also shot in the head in the other ICUs.

826.26 - 835.167 Dr. Mark Perlmutter (Orthopedic Surgeon, North Carolina)

This is like minutes into your initial tour of the hospital. You see two kids with gunshots to the head and then two more kids with gunshots to the head.

835.854 - 845.182 Dr. Thayer Ahmed (Palestinian-American Doctor, Chicago)

Yeah. For me, what struck me about it was just the fact that it had happened. I work in a pretty rough part of the country, so I do see children who get shot in the head.

845.603 - 851.508 Dr. Mark Perlmutter (Orthopedic Surgeon, North Carolina)

Froese works at a hospital near Stockton, California, which has higher rates of violent crime than most of the country.

Chapter 6: What do American doctors say about the targeting of children in Gaza?

974.681 - 994.599 Dr. Thayer Ahmed (Palestinian-American Doctor, Chicago)

So the next day, the eight-year-old girl had died and in the same bed is a 14-year-old boy shot in the right chest and the head. The next day, I said, I went through the ICU afterwards. The 14-year-old boy turns out to be 12 when his family arrived. So then, let's see, two days later, he's been replaced by a 13-year-old boy shot in the head. I wrote, he'll also die.

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995.199 - 1008.844 Dr. Thayer Ahmed (Palestinian-American Doctor, Chicago)

So then on that same day, I wrote, I took care of a two-year-old girl who was brought to the ED after being shot in the head. She arrived with bilateral fixed and dilated pupils, also a non-survivable brain injury. We then had a mass casualty event a few minutes later.

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1010.399 - 1025.53 Dr. Mark Perlmutter (Orthopedic Surgeon, North Carolina)

At the same time that Froese was starting to document this, Mark, working with his patients, he was seeing the same thing. He vividly remembered the day he saw two kids brought in who had both been shot in the head and the chest.

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1026.35 - 1046.941 Dr. Feroz Sidwa (Trauma Surgeon, California)

One of the kids was there with a family member. I ripped up his shirt and there was a bullet entry wound right over the heart. And then I picked up the dressings on his forehead and a second bullet went in right in front of his left ear hole, in front of his ear and out of his neck.

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1049.441 - 1051.422 Dr. Mark Perlmutter (Orthopedic Surgeon, North Carolina)

What was the kid doing when this happened?

1052.262 - 1055.904 Dr. Feroz Sidwa (Trauma Surgeon, California)

Walking with their adult to get water.

1057.244 - 1059.605 Dr. Mark Perlmutter (Orthopedic Surgeon, North Carolina)

Was there a street battle happening?

1060.285 - 1065.167 Dr. Feroz Sidwa (Trauma Surgeon, California)

I didn't ask if there was a street battle going on, but it happened twice in the same day.

1066.175 - 1067.396 Dr. Mark Perlmutter (Orthopedic Surgeon, North Carolina)

Could you say the second time?

Chapter 7: How did the US government respond to doctors' reports of children shot in Gaza?

1143.846 - 1165.56 Dr. Mark Perlmutter (Orthopedic Surgeon, North Carolina)

That's as far as Mark thought about it at the time. The detail of 13 kids, all with gunshot wounds to the head and chest, it just got added to the long list of things they saw in Gaza and couldn't fully understand. It didn't come back to Feroz until they were back home and got invited to speak at a conference in Dearborn, Michigan.

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1166.7 - 1175.603 Dr. Mark Perlmutter (Orthopedic Surgeon, North Carolina)

The panel had another American doctor who also volunteered in Gaza. He worked in two different hospitals a couple months before Feroz and Mark arrived.

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1176.184 - 1196.816 Dr. Thayer Ahmed (Palestinian-American Doctor, Chicago)

He's a Palestinian-American in Chicago named Thayer Ahmed. And we were just sitting next to each other talking before our panel started. And I said, you know, I couldn't believe how many kids I saw shot in the head. I just went through my journal recently, and it was 13. And he said, oh, yeah, I know, me too. You know, almost every day I saw a kid shot in the head. And I was like, oh, okay.

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1197.489 - 1204.855 Dr. Feroz Sidwa (Trauma Surgeon, California)

And then Feroz texted me, hey, you know, this guy saw other kids shot. We have to find out who else saw other kids shot.

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1205.416 - 1210.86 Dr. Thayer Ahmed (Palestinian-American Doctor, Chicago)

So I started asking other people who had been over there, physicians, nurses, midwives, nurse practitioners.

1211.381 - 1216.365 Ad

I got a call from Feroz Sidwa. I think like sometime in mid-July, he called me.

1216.945 - 1220.088 Dr. Mark Perlmutter (Orthopedic Surgeon, North Carolina)

Dr. Adam Hamowy is a plastic surgeon from New Jersey.

1220.822 - 1228.886 Ad

And he said, like, did you take care of anyone with any gunshot wounds to the head or face? And I said, yes. And he said, really? How many?

1229.586 - 1252.178 Dr. Mark Perlmutter (Orthopedic Surgeon, North Carolina)

Because of Adam's specialty, he would have only seen children who survived a gunshot to the head long enough to make it to reconstructive surgery. Not many did. He saw one. It was still shocking to him. Adam had served in Iraq as a surgeon in the U.S. Army. He treated lots of injured people, but what he was seeing in Gaza was different.

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