
It’s no surprise that President Donald Trump has made the United States less safe. But the man who bankrupted his own casinos is now gambling away America’s influence around the world as even our allies do not trust that we will protect them from a nuclear attack. 00:44 Whiskey Headlines 1:20 Where Are We Now? 8:32 The Nuclear Umbrella 14:20 The Umbrella Could Collapse 24:00 Our Eroding World Status *This episode was recorded on March 26, 2025, and aired on April 15,2025. About Truth in the Barrel: Amy and Denver are both military veterans, political junkies, and whiskey lovers who sit on opposite sides of the aisle but have one thing in common: they love the United States of America. Truth in the Barrel was born of Amy & Denver’s commitment to country, the Constitution, and a well-curated collection of the world’s finest bourbon. Join them weekly for deep dives into timely topics, interviews with recognizable guests, and a dose of call-in fun. Visit Our Website: www.TruthintheBarrel.com Subscribe to Truth in the Barrel: https://www.youtube.com/@TruthIntheBarrel Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/0JQcSj5mwVyGDJ8DcXwlu9?si=5f2bd1d1b0c64e6f Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/truth-in-the-barrel/id1804092329 Instagram, BlueSky, Facebook, TikTok: @TruthintheBarrel
Chapter 1: Who are the hosts of Truth in the Barrel and what is this episode about?
So welcome to Truth in the Barrel, where we discuss, or shall we say, distill down the important issues you need to understand. And we do this along with a little bit of whiskey. I'm Amy McGrath with my co-host Denver Riggleman, and this is our Devil's Cut episode.
That whiskey looks really good. I tell you what, I wish I was drinking that with you right now. But Amy, you know, we're going to have some time to do that.
Chapter 2: What are the recent headlines about nuclear proliferation under Trump?
So, I want to start this by reading to you three headlines, okay, just from the last week. Here's the first one, from the Financial Times. From Berlin to Tokyo, the fears of a new nuclear arms race. From The Economist, Europe thinks the unthinkable on a nuclear bomb. And from the Wall Street Journal, Trump prompts European calls for a homegrown nuclear umbrella.
What the real headline should be, Denver, is this. Trump will likely be responsible for more countries gaining nuclear weapons. Das ist es, worüber ich heute sprechen möchte. Bevor wir das tun, müssen wir ein wenig zurückgehen und erklären, wo wir mit diesen Waffen sind. Denn es ist nicht etwas, über das wir normalerweise sprechen, richtig?
Ich meine, während der Koldauer gab es einen großen nuklearen Schreck, aber viele Leute denken nicht mehr wirklich über nukleare Waffen. Und ich denke, sie sollten.
Chapter 3: What is the current state of nuclear weapons globally?
Ich meine, du und ich, als vorherer Militär, denke ich, dass wir viel über Kaskadeneffekte denken. Ja. Ja, das stimmt.
Und nochmals, wenn wir einen Schritt zurückgehen, wissen wir, dass wir die Atomwaffen, die Atomwaffen auf Hiroshima und Nagasaki aufgenommen haben. Und seitdem haben neun Länder entwickelt oder nukleare Waffen gewonnen. Nur neun. Und wir werden darüber sprechen, warum. Aber ich denke, es ist wichtig zu erinnern, dass...
The bombs that were dropped on Hiroshima and Nagasaki were relatively small in terms of warheads compared to what we have today. And I know, Denver, you were in the Air Force, and so the Air Force dealt a lot with these types of weapons, as does the Navy. But we have today thermonuclear weapons. And when I talk about this to my students on national security, I remind them that...
Wenn man sich die zerstörte Macht von Hiroshima und Nagasaki anschaut, das ist vielleicht die Größe einer Tennisballe. Wenn man sich die Thermonukleareinheiten, die wir heute haben, anschaut, wären sie die Größe einer Busse in Bezug auf Explosionskraft.
You know, I was thinking about, you know, I was B1s, right? I was an intelligence officer on F-15s and F-16s, but B1s. And Amy, you know, even with scramjets, things like that, we look at something that can be launched, you know, from the belly of a bomber, right? It just absolutely, it overshadows what happened in Hiroshima and Nagasaki on a level that's hard to comprehend.
And just pure numbers, right, Amy? I mean, when you're looking at nuclear proliferation, and you probably know these numbers, I mean, you're talking about thousands of warheads, right? Weaponized warheads. Das kann an jedem Moment veröffentlicht werden.
Und ich denke, das ist das, was so interessant ist an dieser Administration, Amy, und warum du dachtest, ich denke, warum du dachtest, dass dies einer der wichtigsten Themen ist, die wir diskutieren, ist, dass diese Administration als eine Art von Fantasie-basierter oder eine Administration, die sogar letztlich wie Buffons aussieht, richtig, sie verabschieden sich tatsächlich.
Our influence from Europe, from Asia, right? And when we specifically talk about China and Russia, those are very big influential countries that we're withdrawing from and withdrawing from the world stage with many countries having these nuclear warheads.
First of all, the destructive power of them is just incredible. We almost can't comprehend it. And one of the reasons I wanted to talk about this for one of our first episodes is there's really only one weapon of mass destruction. There's really only one way the sort of the earth as we know it right now could get wiped out other than like an asteroid coming. Right. But is is nuclear annihilation.
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Chapter 4: How has the nuclear umbrella helped prevent proliferation?
Und ich bin mir sicher, in deiner Training als Marine in den F-18s, sprichst du von Luft-zu-Luft-Taktiken gegen einen russischen Krieger, egal ob es ein MIG oder ein SU ist oder was auch immer du gegen sie gehst. Es ist also ziemlich interessant für mich, als ich in den Ende der 90er-Jahre in der Technik-Schule ging, hatten wir immer noch diesen Cold War Stink.
Ich meine, ich weiß, dass wir darüber sprechen, dass Gorbatschow diesen Wall zerstört hat. Wir schauen in die frühen 80er-Jahre bis in die frühen 90er-Jahre. Ich bin 1992 eingeladen worden und dann war ich 98er-Jahre-Kommissionier. Aber es gab immer noch diesen Cold War Stink. Es war Russland und die USA. Und du hattest immer noch dieses Nuklearproblem. Welche Person würde es tun?
Wer würde den Knopf drücken? All das. Nun, in diesem neuen asymmetrischen Welt, du hast neun Länder mit Nuken, jetzt haben wir es, weißt du, ein bisschen stabil gemacht. Was passiert, wenn die Vereinigten Staaten entscheiden, dass sie von Star-Treaties zurückgehen wollen? Sie wollen keine brüdernden Länder mit Nuken behandeln. Wir werden Nativist und Isolationist.
Wir zurückgehen von unseren NATO-Alliierten. Und ich weiß, dass das etwas ist, über das du wirklich sprechen willst, richtig? And we withdraw from our secondary allies, right? Because we have NATO, but there's allies all over the world. Because you were talking about what, nine countries have nukes? How many countries are in the world?
Between 193 to 196, whoever identifies, self-identifies as a country. So what happens, Amy? And what are your thoughts? Because, I mean, you teach this. And for me, I obviously have my thoughts based on being in Congress and things like that. What happens? If we withdraw our support from NATO and the EU thinks that we're not there for them, what does that look like?
Well, a lot of things. But the one thing that we should focus on here, just in terms of nuclear weapons, is this proliferation. Why? Well... One of the reasons we've been able to keep those numbers down to only nine countries having these weapons is because we have extended what we call the nuclear umbrella. Some people call it security assurances. to our friends, to our partners.
We have 30 different countries right now where we have actual security assurances with. What does that mean? What is a security assurance? It is simply like a handshake deal where we go to these countries, say Germany, Poland, countries that could very well have the technical capability to create their own weapon at this point if they wanted to. We go to them and we say, look, Don't get a weapon.
Don't get nukes. We will protect you. We have lots of nukes. And by the way, we have like 5,000 of them, you know, over 1,000 ready to go at any time. We will protect you. Don't build more. And it's based on trust, Denver. That country has to trust that Washington, that the president... will actually protect them if they are attacked by a nuclear state with a nuclear weapon.
They have to be able to say, okay, Seoul, South Korea has to trust that we will, you know, potentially trade New York for Seoul. And those countries are constantly... Worried about this. And so what do we do to sort of reassure them? Well, we position troops in their country. We position nuclear warheads in their country. They don't protect those nuclear warheads. They don't own them.
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Chapter 5: Why is the nuclear umbrella under threat during the Trump administration?
I know this is, it seems maybe small. Maybe to some people it's like, ah, It's a signal chat. It's one phone number. Accidental ad. It's just sloppy. Well, it's really tough to be sloppy in a nuclear world. Because one number off is catastrophic.
It's about trust.
Es geht um Vertrauen. Und wenn es keine Vertrauen von unseren Alliierten gibt, dass diese Regierung sogar fähige oder kompetente Individuen hat, dann macht es es sehr, sehr schwierig, für jedes Land zu denken, dass wir unsere Verträge vertreten werden. Und das ist, weshalb ich es liebe, das den Teufelskreis zu nennen.
Denn was Sie reden, was die Zuhörer gerade tun sollten, ist, dass sie die nukleare und Sicherheitsversicherungen anschauen sollten, die neun Länder anschauen, die nukleare Waffen haben. They should be looking up any of the treaties that have happened over the last, let's be honest, over the last, what, 60 years, 70 years, right, when it comes to nuclear treaties. But you said something, Amy.
You said something about what the U.S. had for decades that I think we've completely lost as trust with our allies. And how do we gain that back? Quickly, story about just numbers being off. Amy, you probably pickle GPS weapons, right? You know how GPS works probably better than anybody. Well, I got the mission plan for GPS weapons. And I remember we were working with Ford Air Controllers in 2001.
And we got a set of coordinates to drop. And by the way, and Amy knows a lot of this, B1s hold 24 2,000-pound JDAMs, GPS-guided, on rotary launchers. So we're going over, and guess what we noticed? We're in Trigger Ops, we're doing close air support with B1s. I know that's nuts, but that's really, really where it started. It was 9-11. That is nuts, by the way. Es ist.
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Chapter 6: What are the implications of the U.S. withdrawing support from NATO and allies?
Also schauen wir uns diesen Ziel an und schau, was wir gefunden haben. Seine Koordinaten waren weg. Schau, was sie gemacht haben. Sie haben ihre Kontrollkoordinaten und ihre Targeting-Koordinaten transposiert, wo sie direkt auf sie droppen.
Yeah.
That's a sloppy number input. So when you're talking about Mike Waltz just being sloppy, adding somebody, we're not 10-year-olds. We're not just adding somebody for a chat on accident or on Discord or on Slack. We're actually supposed to be the adults in the room.
And I think what you're talking about with trust is I think this cascading effect on what we call this devil's cut episode is what people need to be looking into right now.
Ja, und es ist wirklich interessant, dass du das erwähnst, weil unsere Allies und Partner, viele Leute denken, ja, sie sollten ihren eigenen Weg bezahlen. Leute, das ist nicht so, wie es funktioniert. Die Vereinigten Staaten haben diese Waffen. Wir wollten diese Waffen behalten. Wir wollen nicht den Rest des Welt.
Und in Wahrheit ist es generell auf beiden Seiten der Eile für etwa 80 Jahre bekannt. We wanted a policy of what we call non-proliferation. We don't want these countries to get... And while we're just talking about this, this isn't just Amy in Denver making this up. I want to give you a quote from the Polish Prime Minister. His name was Donald Tusk. This was a few weeks ago.
Quote, we would be safer if we had our own nuclear arsenal. Polen. Wie ist es in Südkorea, wo die Mehrheit der Bürger in Südkorea, das ist eine Demokratie, sie haben viele Male gepollt, die Mehrheit der südkoreanischen Bürger glaubt, dass sie ihre eigenen nukleare Waffen entwickeln sollten.
And by the way, the leaders there on both sides of the aisle, in their aisle in South Korea, both believe that they should have enough nuclear material to basically get a bomb within two weeks. So what that means is bring them to all the way up to what's called the nuclear threshold there. That is... Really striking.
And by the way, in South Korea, they have the highest density of nuclear reactors in the world. So it's not like it would be really hard for that country to get a nuclear weapon. Just so you know, if you have nuclear power, you pretty much have the technology to be able to develop a nuclear weapon on your own. What countries can do that? Viele von ihnen.
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Chapter 7: How does trust affect nuclear security assurances with allied countries?
I would humbly submit that our isolationist policies, this nativism that somehow has infected the United States with the 77 million people that voted for Trump, and I'm going to be straight up, as somebody who served as a Republican in Congress, isolationist policies in this global, I would say, environment that we're in, sind absolut die Amerikaner in Risiko.
Und wenn du über andere Länder sprichst, die unser Verhalten sehen, wie Polen und Südkorea, und sie klammern für ihren eigenen Nuklear-Arsenal oder Deterrence-Fähigkeit, basierend auf dem, wie sie China und Russland sehen, denke ich, wir sind für eine wirklich lange Zeit über den nächsten Dezember.
Und ich weiß einfach nicht, wie wir diese Vertrauen mit unseren Allies auf dieser Stelle wiederentwickeln.
It's going to be very hard. And when people say, well, why haven't these countries gotten nukes on their own? Recognize that we gave them this deal and they've, frankly, developing nuclear weapons is pretty expensive.
So if you're a Poland and you don't have to, you don't really want to, because you can now focus on growing your economy and other things that you want to put your resources into instead of nuclear weapons. But if you have lost that trust with the United States of America, which is the guarantor of these nuclear assurances, it's not Britain, it's not France. It's us because we have the amount.
If you've lost that trust, you're now thinking about developing your own. And this is something new. This is not something that you saw under last Republican administrations. It's not something you saw under Democratic administrations. It's purely a function of this Trumpism, which in my belief is very, very dangerous for our world.
Well, you know, Poland, we know why Poland has a pucker factor of 10 right now, looking at, you know, the American administration is playing naked twister with Putin right now. I mean, that's really what it comes down to. You know, we really look like we're friends of Putin. And I think that Poland's going, wait a second, we're NATO, for God's sake. And if we capitulate...
Even if we finalize, you know, what's going on in the Crimea, and I know we can talk about Ukraine in another show, but there's a reason Poland has a pucker factor. How about South Korea? They're always going to have a pucker factor because of North Korea. And when you look at Donald Trump saying that Kim Jong-un, the guy with the bowl haircut, is one of his good friends, right? A murderous
Honestly, piece of ass, right? Piece of shit, right? That's over North Korea. No wonder South Korea, Poland, South Korea is like, for the love of God, give us Dukes. We don't need to rely on those buffoons over there. I don't want J.D. Vance coming over here, right? Or Stephen Miller.
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Chapter 8: What are the risks of miscommunication in nuclear weapon operations?
I mean, they gotta be looking at Donald Trump's tweets. They gotta be looking at the signal chat from the national security leaders and thinking, we can't trust the United States. It does have some... historical background to this. Under the Nixon administration, Nixon pulled the United States out of the Asia-Pacific area more than our Asia-Pacific partners
wanted they became very uncomfortable when nixon of course pulled out of vietnam nixon pulled out of um using our navy as as a um a force that would go in between the taiwan straits you know to bolster up our our defenses on taiwan he pulled troops out of taiwan he pulled troops out of south korea And what happened? Well, South Korea wanted to get their own weapon then.
Taiwan wanted to get their own weapon then and actually created their own nuclear program. And what happened over the next decade? Plus, President Carter and then President Reagan had to basically walk them off back from the plank, right? They had to walk them off, had to provide carrots and sticks. um sie zu stoppen, ihr Programm. Was hat Reagan gemacht?
Er hat Truppen zurückgebracht nach Südkorea. Er hat einige unserer Verteidigungsspenden geholfen. Er hat ihnen die Versicherungen gegeben, dass wir mit ihnen sein würden. Was hat Carter gemacht? Er hat den Stick-Approach benutzt und gesagt, hey, wir werden dir eine Militärhilfe von dir nehmen, wenn du mit dieser Waffe weitergehst. Ich habe Angst, dass wenn wir zu dem Punkt kommen,
Where these countries are looking at Donald Trump and they are saying, we just can't trust the United States again. Because even if Donald Trump goes away, there could be another J.D. Vance out there. And it's best for us to just get our own weapon. And once that dam breaks, everybody's going to get them.
Du weißt, wenn du einen Bullen hast, der immer alle Milchmoney nimmt und einen Bazooka benutzt, um das zu tun. Ich fühle mich, als wäre ich der Herausforderungste, der in der Schule einen Bazooka benutzt, um die Leute Milchmoney zu nehmen. Ein Idiot, der nur rumklammert, um Kinder zu suchen. Aber ich denke, wir sind das. Und ich denke, wenn du an einem Punkt verurteilt wirst,
Oder du siehst einen Bullen, der dich verteidigen sollte, der jetzt das Bazooka auf dich schießt. Du wirst dich schießen. Du wirst kämpfen. Und ich blöde diese Länder nicht dafür, dass sie das tun. Und ich denke, das ist der Weg, den wir gehen.
Und ich wundere, Amy, ich wundere, und ich hoffe, dass die Leute das anschauen, was das erste Land ist, außer der neun, das eine nukleare Waffe weppen wird.
Es können unsere Alliierten sein. Alle sind auf Iran konzentriert. Es kann nicht Iran sein. Es kann einer unserer Partner sein. Die Grundlage ist für alle, die denken, dass Donald Trump uns in der Welt stärker macht. Du könntest nicht weiter von der Wahrheit sein. Ich glaube, in diesem Fall, wie in vielen anderen, ist Donald Trump uns tatsächlich weniger mächtig.
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