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Wall Street Breakfast

Apple's $500 billion 'politician' move

24 Feb 2025

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Apple pledges to spend and hire big in the U.S. with eye on tariffs. (0:15) Domino's traffic disappoints. (2:50) Microsoft hits back on claim its capex spend goal is in doubt. (4:10) Show NotesFind top growth stocks in the small-cap spaceRobotaxi pure play WeRide lands key Beijing approvalEpisode transcripts: seekingalpha.com/wsb Sign up for our daily newsletter here and for full access to analyst ratings, stock quant scores, dividend grades, subscribe to Seeking Alpha Premium at seekingalpha.com/subscriptions.

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Full Episode

2.813 - 21.941 Kim Kahn

Welcome to Seeking Alpha's Wall Street Lunch, our afternoon update on today's market action, news, and analysis. Good afternoon. Today is Monday, February 24th, and I'm your host, Kim Kahn. Our top story so far. Apple announced that it will invest more than $500 billion in the U.S. over the next four years, hiring about 20,000 people.

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22.341 - 41.373 Kim Kahn

The vast majority will be focused on R&D, silicon engineering, software development, and AI and machine learning. UBS analyst David Vogt who is a neutral rating on Apple, said the iPhone maker's supply chain and financial model raises doubts around the $500 billion announcement and number, which includes building a server factory in Houston.

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42.014 - 61.526 Kim Kahn

While the headline figure on the surface is a large number, we believe it lacks substance at this juncture based on history, he said. Vogt added that more than 40% of Apple's suppliers, who are responsible for roughly 98% of direct spending on materials, manufacturing, and assembling Apple products, are located in Taiwan or China. The U.S.

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61.546 - 78.537 Kim Kahn

supplier base accounts for just 10% of Apple's supply chain. The hiring of an additional 20,000 new employees would grow Apple's employee base by around 12% over the next five years. If the cost is around $250,000 per employee, that would raise Apple's operating expenses by just $5 billion per year.

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79.117 - 89.504 Kim Kahn

Wedbush analyst Dan Ai said the announcement is not a sign that Apple is tweaking its China manufacturing build-out, but is more akin to a strategic move to get into President Trump's invest-in-the-U.S. theme.

90.124 - 111.984 Kim Kahn

Cook continues to prove that he is 10% politician and 90% CEO, and times like this he will be using his strong ties globally to make sure it's smoother waters for Cupertino ahead despite the market's agita around Apple's growth initiatives with Trump heading down the tariff threat path. In today's trading, stocks are choppy following Friday's sell-off, and growth names have lost early gains.

112.384 - 131.533 Kim Kahn

The major averages are mixed, but fairly close to the flatline. Rates are also volatile. The 10-year Treasury yield is back around 4.4%, but has been in the green and the red today. Clark Bellin, CIO at Bellwether Wealth, says, Even though stocks posted their worst day of the year on Friday, the stock market still has been off to an impressive start so far in 2025.

131.953 - 142.839 Kim Kahn

And if we see blowout earnings from NVIDIA and softer-than-expected inflation data, that could add upward momentum to stocks. Today, Wedbush analysts said NVIDIA is likely to offer up a clear beat and raise.

143.639 - 157.932 Kim Kahn

The $325 billion of CapEx from the Magnificent Seven in 2025 is about a $100 billion increase year over year, and enterprise-driven demand is accelerating as more companies and governments, Project Stargate, head down the AI yellow brick road, they added.

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