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Adam Elga

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
690 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Sean Carroll's Mindscape: Science, Society, Philosophy, Culture, Arts, and Ideas
345 | Adam Elga on Being Rational in a Very Large Universe

I agree with you, actually, that they are not very descriptive.

Sean Carroll's Mindscape: Science, Society, Philosophy, Culture, Arts, and Ideas
345 | Adam Elga on Being Rational in a Very Large Universe

But just in case someone's looking this stuff up, the thing we've been calling the third position or the many duplicates get a boost position, that's called SIA, self-indication assumption in the literature.

Sean Carroll's Mindscape: Science, Society, Philosophy, Culture, Arts, and Ideas
345 | Adam Elga on Being Rational in a Very Large Universe

I think the terminology goes back to Bostrom.

Sean Carroll's Mindscape: Science, Society, Philosophy, Culture, Arts, and Ideas
345 | Adam Elga on Being Rational in a Very Large Universe

And the view that I believe you were just gesturing at is sometimes called SSA, self-sampling assumption.

Sean Carroll's Mindscape: Science, Society, Philosophy, Culture, Arts, and Ideas
345 | Adam Elga on Being Rational in a Very Large Universe

I would like to add another tag to it.

Sean Carroll's Mindscape: Science, Society, Philosophy, Culture, Arts, and Ideas
345 | Adam Elga on Being Rational in a Very Large Universe

So if the first view is favor the possibilities with many copies of me or people like me gets a boost, think of this other view as possibilities in which most people are like me get a boost.

Sean Carroll's Mindscape: Science, Society, Philosophy, Culture, Arts, and Ideas
345 | Adam Elga on Being Rational in a Very Large Universe

In other words, we can think of that as giving a boost to possibilities in which a high fraction of observers

Sean Carroll's Mindscape: Science, Society, Philosophy, Culture, Arts, and Ideas
345 | Adam Elga on Being Rational in a Very Large Universe

have experiences that are similar to mine.

Sean Carroll's Mindscape: Science, Society, Philosophy, Culture, Arts, and Ideas
345 | Adam Elga on Being Rational in a Very Large Universe

Now, as many people have pointed out that second view

Sean Carroll's Mindscape: Science, Society, Philosophy, Culture, Arts, and Ideas
345 | Adam Elga on Being Rational in a Very Large Universe

requires us to answer the question, what does it mean for an observer to be sufficiently like you?

Sean Carroll's Mindscape: Science, Society, Philosophy, Culture, Arts, and Ideas
345 | Adam Elga on Being Rational in a Very Large Universe

That's a kind of free parameter within the theory, and you can fix it in various different ways.

Sean Carroll's Mindscape: Science, Society, Philosophy, Culture, Arts, and Ideas
345 | Adam Elga on Being Rational in a Very Large Universe

But I think for the big picture, the best way to think about it is, is it that many get a boost or most get a boost?

Sean Carroll's Mindscape: Science, Society, Philosophy, Culture, Arts, and Ideas
345 | Adam Elga on Being Rational in a Very Large Universe

Is it about absolute numbers or is it about frequencies?

Sean Carroll's Mindscape: Science, Society, Philosophy, Culture, Arts, and Ideas
345 | Adam Elga on Being Rational in a Very Large Universe

And those are two of the main views in this area.

Sean Carroll's Mindscape: Science, Society, Philosophy, Culture, Arts, and Ideas
345 | Adam Elga on Being Rational in a Very Large Universe

There's a third main view, which we haven't talked about yet, but I just want to mention that there's another view around too.

Sean Carroll's Mindscape: Science, Society, Philosophy, Culture, Arts, and Ideas
345 | Adam Elga on Being Rational in a Very Large Universe

The label of the third view is compartmentalized conditionalizing, sometimes called CC.

Sean Carroll's Mindscape: Science, Society, Philosophy, Culture, Arts, and Ideas
345 | Adam Elga on Being Rational in a Very Large Universe

I learned about it from the work of Chris Meacham.

Sean Carroll's Mindscape: Science, Society, Philosophy, Culture, Arts, and Ideas
345 | Adam Elga on Being Rational in a Very Large Universe

And it's the view that generalizes the half-halfer view in a sleeping beauty problem.