Alex Goldenberg

And this is the opposite of how we should relate to war.

The normal human response is to prefer peace, to hope conflicts deescalate, to want fewer casualties.

The financial stakes that we're introducing are fundamentally corrupting that.

And it fundamentally changes civic discourse as well.

Instead of asking, should we strike, which is a moral and strategic question, we're asking, what are the odds we strike?

Democratic deliberation is becoming market speculation.

Citizens stop being participants in governance and become spectators with financial interests in the outcomes.

And there's a historical parallel here to think about.

In Roman times, people were betting on gladiators, literally betting on human death as entertainment.

And we've spent centuries moving away from that, recognizing it's fundamentally dehumanizing.

Prediction markets on military operations are, in my view, a regression to that same dynamic.

The digital interface makes it feel cleaner, more abstract.

But at the end of the day, we're still betting on violence and we're still treating human suffering as a tradable commodity.

And that should worry all of us.

Thank you.

He has a footprint in India.

South Africa, London, and is quite active in the United States, funding a network of nonprofit organizations to the tune of tens of millions of dollars.

And he's not just funding activism.

What we find is he's funding and exporting an authoritarian aligned ideology under the banner of like American nonprofit legitimacy.

doesn't just promote anti-American sentiment, but openly supports authoritarian regimes, repeatedly amplifies voices that glorify terrorism and cause for violent revolutions, such as the globalization of the Intifada.