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Alex Heath

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
769 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Pivot
Betting on Reality with Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour: ACCESS

And a lot of the specific cases actually I'm not privy to.

Pivot
Betting on Reality with Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour: ACCESS

So the, yeah, it's interesting because then you, because you don't want to have impact on, you don't want to have like a conflict of interest, right?

Pivot
Betting on Reality with Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour: ACCESS

Like for example, if it's like a big customer that did something wrong, like the business may want to like be like, oh, maybe you should, but the rules say like, actually there's an information wall

Pivot
Betting on Reality with Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour: ACCESS

between those two so that the regulatory side can interface with the regulator and the audit committees, et cetera, like independently of the commercial side.

Pivot
Betting on Reality with Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour: ACCESS

So they have full autonomy.

Pivot
Betting on Reality with Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour: ACCESS

Well, the relevant team, including exactly the chief regulatory officer, know, but the commercial side doesn't know.

Pivot
Betting on Reality with Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour: ACCESS

And this, by the way, this is common, for example, you know how at like Goldman, so at banks, you know how like the...

Pivot
Betting on Reality with Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour: ACCESS

the trading side and the banking side cannot share information between each other i guess the trading side can share with the banking but the banking cannot share with uh with uh with the trading and it's the same thing i guess commercial can share with the regulatory but there's some some set of information the regulatory cannot share with the business

Pivot
Betting on Reality with Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour: ACCESS

The answer is definitely, I mean, like, look, the CFTC, it's interesting, people talk about the scale of prediction markets.

Pivot
Betting on Reality with Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour: ACCESS

But look, I mean, this year, prediction markets have grown massive, like, to be clear.

Pivot
Betting on Reality with Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour: ACCESS

So right now, I mean, I think

Pivot
Betting on Reality with Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour: ACCESS

So Kalshi is doing something like $70, $80 billion of volume a year.

Pivot
Betting on Reality with Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour: ACCESS

And the broader industry maybe is $150, $200 billion with millions of customers participating.

Pivot
Betting on Reality with Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour: ACCESS

But then let's compare that to the commodities markets and the swaps markets that the CFTC regulates.

Pivot
Betting on Reality with Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour: ACCESS

And actually, let me ask you, how much notion of volume do you think goes through the Chicago Mercantile Exchange a year?

Pivot
Betting on Reality with Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour: ACCESS

Like I know that, you know, it's still pretty small for a cow sheep.

Pivot
Betting on Reality with Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour: ACCESS

It's tiny.

Pivot
Betting on Reality with Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour: ACCESS

Right.

Pivot
Betting on Reality with Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour: ACCESS

I mean, that number that I was going to mention is a quadrillion.

Pivot
Betting on Reality with Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour: ACCESS

Yeah, it's 1,000 trillion.