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Alex Imas

πŸ‘€ Speaker
734 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Dwarkesh Podcast
Alex Imas and Phil Trammell – What remains scarce after AGI?

What should they be doing right now?

Dwarkesh Podcast
Alex Imas and Phil Trammell – What remains scarce after AGI?

If you're talking to Modi right now, what do you say?

Dwarkesh Podcast
Alex Imas and Phil Trammell – What remains scarce after AGI?

Sorry, you're saying if the developing countries have some savings in the developed world, that will be enough to produce a lot of surplus?

Dwarkesh Podcast
Alex Imas and Phil Trammell – What remains scarce after AGI?

They will now be able to consume a lot using their savings.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Alex Imas and Phil Trammell – What remains scarce after AGI?

This is actually, I think, a crucial point.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Alex Imas and Phil Trammell – What remains scarce after AGI?

We were talking earlier about why the Rockefellers or whatever the world, why their descendants don't control everything.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Alex Imas and Phil Trammell – What remains scarce after AGI?

If our argument about the selection of these kind of greedy optimizers hold.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Alex Imas and Phil Trammell – What remains scarce after AGI?

And one argument is just that it's like very hard to index the economy.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Alex Imas and Phil Trammell – What remains scarce after AGI?

And maybe they would have just decided to have their heirs index the economy and have it grow at the rate of economic... Have their wealth grow at the rate of economic growth and they would be, you know, trillionaires.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Alex Imas and Phil Trammell – What remains scarce after AGI?

Their heirs would be trillionaires by now.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Alex Imas and Phil Trammell – What remains scarce after AGI?

But...

Dwarkesh Podcast
Alex Imas and Phil Trammell – What remains scarce after AGI?

Before index funds existed, it's just very hard to just get a representation.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Alex Imas and Phil Trammell – What remains scarce after AGI?

Just a very small fraction of the economy going back 100 years accounts for a majority of the value created now.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Alex Imas and Phil Trammell – What remains scarce after AGI?

And if you miss those particular things, you would have basically... Your wealth would have just kind of stagnated.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Alex Imas and Phil Trammell – What remains scarce after AGI?

And maybe there was a brief golden window from the creation of index funds up until, I don't know, five years ago, where actually you could index the economy and you could have your wealth grow at the rate the economy grows.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Alex Imas and Phil Trammell – What remains scarce after AGI?

But...

Dwarkesh Podcast
Alex Imas and Phil Trammell – What remains scarce after AGI?

Now that we're in this world with very concentrated returns, especially to private companies, which is capital that is, as we were making a point in our blog post, the average person has disproportionately less access to, as opposed to, you know, most of their capital is like having a random house, at least in the US, or a part of a house.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Alex Imas and Phil Trammell – What remains scarce after AGI?

Yeah, which is, as we were saying, is sort of unique, a capital that is uniquely ill-suited to be complementary to the production of AI or the serving of AI or to robots.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Alex Imas and Phil Trammell – What remains scarce after AGI?

Or the kinds of goods that the rich will bid up the prices of.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Alex Imas and Phil Trammell – What remains scarce after AGI?

Exactly, right?