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Alexandre Gangué-Ruzic

👤 Speaker
202 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Halford & Brough in the Morning
Canada Needs To Figure Out How To Score

you can see maybe it's not going to be a true 50-50, but a 30-70, right?

Halford & Brough in the Morning
Canada Needs To Figure Out How To Score

You take those odds if you're Canada.

Halford & Brough in the Morning
Canada Needs To Figure Out How To Score

So yeah, absolutely getting out the group should be a minimum because with how this 48 team is,

Halford & Brough in the Morning
Canada Needs To Figure Out How To Score

If you win one game, you have something like a 60% chance of getting out.

Halford & Brough in the Morning
Canada Needs To Figure Out How To Score

If you get four points, it's something like 99% someone ran these simulations.

Halford & Brough in the Morning
Canada Needs To Figure Out How To Score

So that's a bare minimum.

Halford & Brough in the Morning
Canada Needs To Figure Out How To Score

For me, I'm looking at, okay, you get out the group, you get to around a 32.

Halford & Brough in the Morning
Canada Needs To Figure Out How To Score

For example, you finish second.

Halford & Brough in the Morning
Canada Needs To Figure Out How To Score

Some of your likely opponents or whoever finishes second in Mexico's group.

Halford & Brough in the Morning
Canada Needs To Figure Out How To Score

So Mexico, Czechia, South Korea, South Africa.

Halford & Brough in the Morning
Canada Needs To Figure Out How To Score

in a round of 32 game, those are games again, like with Bosnia and Qatar, Canada's capable of winning.

Halford & Brough in the Morning
Canada Needs To Figure Out How To Score

So for me, I think a good tournament would be round to 16.

Halford & Brough in the Morning
Canada Needs To Figure Out How To Score

Cause then there you'd start to get some of the big boys, you get something serious there.

Halford & Brough in the Morning
Canada Needs To Figure Out How To Score

Okay.

Halford & Brough in the Morning
Canada Needs To Figure Out How To Score

If you're for placement,

Halford & Brough in the Morning
Canada Needs To Figure Out How To Score

playing Portugal or some other massive team, it's not going to be a 30-70, like I mentioned, a 40-60.

Halford & Brough in the Morning
Canada Needs To Figure Out How To Score

It's going to be a completely different equation.

Halford & Brough in the Morning
Canada Needs To Figure Out How To Score

So I'm looking at that round of 16 as a good line.

Halford & Brough in the Morning
Canada Needs To Figure Out How To Score

I think if Canada gets there, that means they'll have ticked off the important boxes that they still need to tick off, such as win that first game, get out to the knockouts for the first time, and win.

Halford & Brough in the Morning
Canada Needs To Figure Out How To Score

I think we'll have had, you know, that means we'll have won a knockout game, which would have been a massive achievement.