Alexandre Gangué-Ruzic
👤 SpeakerAppearances Over Time
Podcast Appearances
you can see maybe it's not going to be a true 50-50, but a 30-70, right?
You take those odds if you're Canada.
So yeah, absolutely getting out the group should be a minimum because with how this 48 team is,
If you win one game, you have something like a 60% chance of getting out.
If you get four points, it's something like 99% someone ran these simulations.
So that's a bare minimum.
For me, I'm looking at, okay, you get out the group, you get to around a 32.
For example, you finish second.
Some of your likely opponents or whoever finishes second in Mexico's group.
So Mexico, Czechia, South Korea, South Africa.
in a round of 32 game, those are games again, like with Bosnia and Qatar, Canada's capable of winning.
So for me, I think a good tournament would be round to 16.
Cause then there you'd start to get some of the big boys, you get something serious there.
Okay.
If you're for placement,
playing Portugal or some other massive team, it's not going to be a 30-70, like I mentioned, a 40-60.
It's going to be a completely different equation.
So I'm looking at that round of 16 as a good line.
I think if Canada gets there, that means they'll have ticked off the important boxes that they still need to tick off, such as win that first game, get out to the knockouts for the first time, and win.
I think we'll have had, you know, that means we'll have won a knockout game, which would have been a massive achievement.