Alpin Yukseloglu

There are systems that are chaotic.

Like for example, the three body problem where the fact that even if you have super intelligence, you can't predict too many more ticks ahead because it's just a fundamentally chaotic system.

So I do think that there's this, you know, the world is a complicated place and there are still physical laws and constraints that will catch these things.

And practically the best we can do is we have to push that frontier together instead of letting it just sort of happen to us.

I mean, I think the core point is agency, right?

So Peter Thiel has this framing where acceptance and denial, most people relate to them as opposites.

But in many ways, they're the same thing because both of them imply that you're sort of everything is out of your control.

If you're fully accepting that something's going to happen, then you're not doing anything about it.

And if you're fully denying that something's going to happen, you're also not doing anything about it.

In that sense, I think both the doomers and the accelerationists are both wrong.

And the real answer is that we have agency over these outcomes and that you yourself can bend the arc of the future.

And I think there's a lot of comfort in that and a lot of stability in that because if you believe that you have agency over the outcome, then somehow you're still in control.

Now, I will say that the current frontier and like, I guess you can argue, the frontier has always been experimentally bound, which means we don't know, like we can't sit down and theorize about what is going to happen.

Generally, the way that we're going to figure out how things are going to happen is by is by

by experimenting and then by seeing the results.

And these AI models and also the current frontier of technology is grown.

It's not manufactured.

It's much more organically evolved in a way that we can't today really predict.

So even just the armchair trying to theorize about what's going to happen will drive you insane because you can't know.

It's not bound by your ability to algorithmically figure out the future.