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Andrej Karpathy

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
3433 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy โ€” AGI is still a decade away

They're not silently collapsed.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy โ€” AGI is still a decade away

They maintain a huge amount of entropy.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy โ€” AGI is still a decade away

So how do you get synthetic data generation to work despite the collapse and while maintaining the entropy is a research problem.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy โ€” AGI is still a decade away

Say we have a chapter of a book and I ask an alum to think about it.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy โ€” AGI is still a decade away

It will give you something that looks very reasonable.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy โ€” AGI is still a decade away

But if I ask it 10 times, you'll notice that all of them are the same.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy โ€” AGI is still a decade away

Yeah, yeah, yeah.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy โ€” AGI is still a decade away

So any individual sample will look okay, but the distribution of it is quite terrible.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy โ€” AGI is still a decade away

Interesting.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy โ€” AGI is still a decade away

And it's quite terrible in such a way that if you continue training on too much of your own stuff, you actually collapse.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy โ€” AGI is still a decade away

I actually think that there's no like fundamental solutions to this possibly.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy โ€” AGI is still a decade away

And I also think humans collapse over time.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy โ€” AGI is still a decade away

I think this is, again, these analogies are surprisingly good, but humans collapse during the course of their lives.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy โ€” AGI is still a decade away

This is why children have completely, you know, they haven't overfit yet.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy โ€” AGI is still a decade away

And they will say stuff that will shock you because it's kind of, you can see where they're coming from, but it's just not the thing people say.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy โ€” AGI is still a decade away

Yeah.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy โ€” AGI is still a decade away

And because they're not yet collapsed.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy โ€” AGI is still a decade away

But we're collapsed, we end up revisiting the same thoughts, we end up saying more and more of the same stuff, and the learning rates go down, and the collapse continues to get worse, and then everything deteriorates.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy โ€” AGI is still a decade away

It's an interesting idea.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy โ€” AGI is still a decade away

I mean, I do think that...