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Andrej Karpathy

πŸ‘€ Speaker
3433 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy β€” AGI is still a decade away

I'm looking for an autonomy slider.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy β€” AGI is still a decade away

And I almost expect that we are not going to,

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy β€” AGI is still a decade away

instantly replace people.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy β€” AGI is still a decade away

We're going to be swapping in AIs that do 80% of the volume.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy β€” AGI is still a decade away

They delegate 20% of the volume to humans.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy β€” AGI is still a decade away

And humans are supervising teams of five AIs doing the call center work that's more rote.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy β€” AGI is still a decade away

So I would be looking for new interfaces or new companies that provide some kind of a layer that allows you to manage some of these AIs that are not yet perfect.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy β€” AGI is still a decade away

And then I would expect that across the economy.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy β€” AGI is still a decade away

And a lot of jobs are a lot harder than call center employee.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy β€” AGI is still a decade away

Yeah, I think that's an interesting question.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy β€” AGI is still a decade away

I don't think we're currently seeing that with radiology.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy β€” AGI is still a decade away

And I don't have, like...

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy β€” AGI is still a decade away

In my understanding, but I think radiology is not a good example, basically.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy β€” AGI is still a decade away

I don't know why Jeff Hinton picked on radiology because I think it's an extremely messy, complicated profession.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy β€” AGI is still a decade away

So I would be a lot more interested in what's happening with call center employees today, for example, because I would expect a lot of the road stuff to be automatable today.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy β€” AGI is still a decade away

And I don't have a first level access to it, but maybe I would be looking for trends of what's happening with the call center employees.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy β€” AGI is still a decade away

Maybe some of the things I would also expect is maybe they are swapping in AI, but then I would still wait for a year or two because I would potentially expect them to pull back and actually rehire some of the people.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy β€” AGI is still a decade away

So I think there's an interesting point here because I do believe coding is like the perfect first thing for these LLMs and agents.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy β€” AGI is still a decade away

And that's because coding has always fundamentally worked around text.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy β€” AGI is still a decade away

It's computer terminals and text, and everything is based around text.