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Andrew Ross Sorkin

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
See mentions of this person in podcasts
3712 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Fresh Air
Can The Lessons Of 1929 Prevent Another Crash?

One of the things that sprung up on the other side of that regulation was an entire new system where effectively private equity firms and other investment firms decided they would start to loan money to businesses, small businesses, large businesses instead of the banks.

Fresh Air
Can The Lessons Of 1929 Prevent Another Crash?

Those firms are not regulated like banks, but so much of the lending in America has really moved into what we call the shadow banking system because it's a shadow lending system.

Fresh Air
Can The Lessons Of 1929 Prevent Another Crash?

It's almost like the banks without the regulations that the banks historically had.

Fresh Air
Can The Lessons Of 1929 Prevent Another Crash?

And so there's one view that it's actually a safer form of lending because it's not attached to the banks in the same way.

Fresh Air
Can The Lessons Of 1929 Prevent Another Crash?

But there's another question, which is because we don't have transparency into this marketplace, we don't really know how large the loans are and how interconnected those loans are.

Fresh Air
Can The Lessons Of 1929 Prevent Another Crash?

What happens if things turn bad?

Fresh Air
Can The Lessons Of 1929 Prevent Another Crash?

Well, there's a couple of risks.

Fresh Air
Can The Lessons Of 1929 Prevent Another Crash?

The first is this is not just rich people's money being loaned out.

Fresh Air
Can The Lessons Of 1929 Prevent Another Crash?

It's pension money being loaned out.

Fresh Air
Can The Lessons Of 1929 Prevent Another Crash?

It's insurance money that's being loaned out.

Fresh Air
Can The Lessons Of 1929 Prevent Another Crash?

And because it's so concentrated and so much of the loan process is now moving through what's called private credit or shadow banks, the question is if the economy were to turn south and

Fresh Air
Can The Lessons Of 1929 Prevent Another Crash?

And this community decides that they're just not going to make loans.

Fresh Air
Can The Lessons Of 1929 Prevent Another Crash?

I mean, that's really part of the issue.

Fresh Air
Can The Lessons Of 1929 Prevent Another Crash?

It's not just the loans turn bad, but that they are not going to make new loans.

Fresh Air
Can The Lessons Of 1929 Prevent Another Crash?

You could really see how the gears of our economy could slow in a remarkable way.

Fresh Air
Can The Lessons Of 1929 Prevent Another Crash?

And that unto itself, I think, has people concerned.

Fresh Air
Can The Lessons Of 1929 Prevent Another Crash?

Look, right now, artificial intelligence and the spending on data center, hundreds of billions of dollars a year right now is what is largely keeping our economy afloat.

Fresh Air
Can The Lessons Of 1929 Prevent Another Crash?

Jason Furman from Harvard did a study on this.

Fresh Air
Can The Lessons Of 1929 Prevent Another Crash?

If you removed the spending on artificial intelligence in America right now, you would have flat GDP in this country practically.

Fresh Air
Can The Lessons Of 1929 Prevent Another Crash?

And so you have all of the growth concentrated in this one particular area.