Andrew Wilson

But in order to make another Republican district, you have to take some of that constituency away.

OK, so the the Republican liens in these districts become smaller and smaller, which, you know, it might create more Republican districts, but it does create more pickup opportunities for Democrats, too.

And, you know, if you look at races like the Miami mayoral race, if you look at these special elections that we had in April.

It's the the idea that Republicans are going to defend themselves only by gerrymandering.

I don't think it's going to work out.

And you can see in the polling again, just when you lose that number of independents, you lose the sort of protective floor that you had

to do these sort of dummy manders.

It comes back to bite you on the ass.

And I think we're all blessed by the incompetence of the Republican Party in many ways, and Trump.

If they were a slightly more evil and more competent party, I think we'd be in a lot more trouble.

Which...

It is terrifying.

But I think the polling tells us something interesting about that, and there's some sort of cultural anecdotes here too.

I think with Trump's approval where it is, where it's going, and we've thought for a long time that he had a floor and now he's below that floor in his polling.

With where it's going, he's not a kingmaker anymore.

He can't influence the future of Republican politics in 2028 like he wants to, I don't think.

And you see that with somebody like Tucker Carlson.

He cynically believes that Trump has no more to give to the right-wing movement in the U.S., which is probably true.

And that's why he's tossing him aside.

It has nothing to do with, you know, some principle anti-war position.