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Andy Darroch

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
187 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

The Money Puzzle
Private credit - How bad is this going to get?

So something that's already not...

The Money Puzzle
Private credit - How bad is this going to get?

100% transparent.

The Money Puzzle
Private credit - How bad is this going to get?

And I don't mean that in a derogatory way.

The Money Puzzle
Private credit - How bad is this going to get?

It's just the nature of the type of loans that are in there.

The Money Puzzle
Private credit - How bad is this going to get?

It becomes often more Byzantine, more opaque, less transparent what you're invested in.

The Money Puzzle
Private credit - How bad is this going to get?

And again, when returns are good, no one cares.

The Money Puzzle
Private credit - How bad is this going to get?

But when returns aren't, people care a lot.

The Money Puzzle
Private credit - How bad is this going to get?

What's the Buffett thing when the tide goes out?

The Money Puzzle
Private credit - How bad is this going to get?

Yeah, when the tide goes out, you see who's been swimming naked has got to be one of the most used terms in the world.

The Money Puzzle
Private credit - How bad is this going to get?

And I think there might be some high net worth investors that will get a pretty good view of some sea cucumbers over the next couple of years, I fear.

The Money Puzzle
Private credit - How bad is this going to get?

On that as well, like these are loans, right?

The Money Puzzle
Private credit - How bad is this going to get?

So ideally they're rolling over.

The Money Puzzle
Private credit - How bad is this going to get?

So in a perfect world, you know, you might not be able to sell all these things instantly, but, you know, it depends on the manager.

The Money Puzzle
Private credit - How bad is this going to get?

They might have a hundred, they might have more, they might have less loans.

The Money Puzzle
Private credit - How bad is this going to get?

And every quarter, a certain degree of those should be rolling over.

The Money Puzzle
Private credit - How bad is this going to get?

So it's not that you'll never get your money back, even in, you know, worst case scenario, XYZ fund, freezes, gates, whatever.

The Money Puzzle
Private credit - How bad is this going to get?

It's just when you will get it back.

The Money Puzzle
Private credit - How bad is this going to get?

That's the key thing here.

The Money Puzzle
Private credit - How bad is this going to get?

Yeah, just on that though, like if you are, you know, getting credit from a loan or debt or whatever from a private credit firm, it generally means that you're probably not able to get it from a bank or the bond market.

The Money Puzzle
Private credit - How bad is this going to get?

So one of the, one of the issues people have with the space at the moment, and particularly on this SaaSpocalypse type thing is that a lot of these businesses aren't as backed by, you know, hard assets as you would like as a creditor.