Anita Arnand

But it's a brilliant deception.

If a deception is going to work, you do the same thing again and again.

People expect the same result again and again.

But then in the week before October the 6th, the Egyptian army stages what looks like to these areas, oh, they're off again.

You know, another exercise, massive troop concentrations visible from Israeli observation posts on the eastern bank.

Israeli intelligence assessing, you know, well, this is the same as we saw, you know, last Tuesday.

The exercise is scheduled to conclude on October the 7th.

The Israelis note the dates, they file the reports, but they don't mobilize this time.

Remember, you know, tens of millions every time you mobilize because the idea is, you know, this is just mere theater.

If not mobilizing, how is Israel fortified?

I mean, do they have defensive positions if they're not moving into attacking positions?

Securing the knowledge that the Soviets have not given surface-to-air missiles.

So, okay.

So, I mean, that does sound like it's a good plan on the Israeli side.

What's going on in Sadat's mind?

The timing is important because in the Israeli reckoning, 48 hours it buys them to get the Air Force up in the air to strafe and deal with whatever's coming behind.

But actually in two hours, that's just completely game changing.

The day where observant Israelis, they fast, they go to synagogue, roads are empty.

This is a huge practical obstacle because you choose a date like that.

You're choosing a date when the army simply has not got its boots on.