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Anthony McDonald

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604 total appearances
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Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Chanticleer
Refinery fire means more pain, Westpac’s vital Iran warning & Gina Rinehart claims victory

I mean, in addition, James, we've got a couple of speeches from the RBA Deputy Governor, Andrew Houser, who has emerged as someone who's really worth listening to.

Chanticleer
Refinery fire means more pain, Westpac’s vital Iran warning & Gina Rinehart claims victory

And he basically just parroted the Michelle Bullock lines that, you know, inflation is a concern, we'll raise rates higher if we have to.

Chanticleer
Refinery fire means more pain, Westpac’s vital Iran warning & Gina Rinehart claims victory

Let's just wait and see what happens.

Chanticleer
Refinery fire means more pain, Westpac’s vital Iran warning & Gina Rinehart claims victory

Well, the shaken sentiment, James, while it's a forward-looking indicator, it is impacting some profits materially, and boards are having to start to think about disclosure.

Chanticleer
Refinery fire means more pain, Westpac’s vital Iran warning & Gina Rinehart claims victory

So the big one we got this week, and it's the one we've been waiting for, the obvious one, the most exposed oil stock on ASX outside of the energy sector, and that's Qantas.

Chanticleer
Refinery fire means more pain, Westpac’s vital Iran warning & Gina Rinehart claims victory

Guess how much Qantas spends on fuel every six months?

Chanticleer
Refinery fire means more pain, Westpac’s vital Iran warning & Gina Rinehart claims victory

Tell me.

Chanticleer
Refinery fire means more pain, Westpac’s vital Iran warning & Gina Rinehart claims victory

About $2.5 billion last half.

922.39 View full episode →
Chanticleer
Refinery fire means more pain, Westpac’s vital Iran warning & Gina Rinehart claims victory

Right.

Chanticleer
Refinery fire means more pain, Westpac’s vital Iran warning & Gina Rinehart claims victory

Up to $3.3 billion this half.

Chanticleer
Refinery fire means more pain, Westpac’s vital Iran warning & Gina Rinehart claims victory

Huge fuel bill, right?

Chanticleer
Refinery fire means more pain, Westpac’s vital Iran warning & Gina Rinehart claims victory

Huge numbers.

Chanticleer
Refinery fire means more pain, Westpac’s vital Iran warning & Gina Rinehart claims victory

And its fuel costs likely be up $800 million.

Chanticleer
Refinery fire means more pain, Westpac’s vital Iran warning & Gina Rinehart claims victory

Up to $800 million, it reckons, in the six months to June 30th.

Chanticleer
Refinery fire means more pain, Westpac’s vital Iran warning & Gina Rinehart claims victory

So, you know, if you're worried about the petrol price when you drive past a petrol station, Chase, just imagine what it's like if you're a Qantas CFO or treasurer and think about all the money going out the door.

Chanticleer
Refinery fire means more pain, Westpac’s vital Iran warning & Gina Rinehart claims victory

Fair point.

Chanticleer
Refinery fire means more pain, Westpac’s vital Iran warning & Gina Rinehart claims victory

Its profits obviously have been absolutely smashed.

Chanticleer
Refinery fire means more pain, Westpac’s vital Iran warning & Gina Rinehart claims victory

It hedges against the oil price, doesn't hedge so much against the actual cost of the jet fuel, what it costs on top, like the margin.

Chanticleer
Refinery fire means more pain, Westpac’s vital Iran warning & Gina Rinehart claims victory

And that margin has gone through the roof way more than the actual oil price has gone up.

Chanticleer
Refinery fire means more pain, Westpac’s vital Iran warning & Gina Rinehart claims victory

So it's doing whatever it can to try and protect itself, protect its earnings and profits.