Armando Unity
đ€ SpeakerAppearances Over Time
Podcast Appearances
No kyllÀ, vaikka tÀmÀ on nyt mikrobettiÀ, ei mikrobettiÀ niin sanottuna, mutta mikrobettiÀ miniskeistÀ asioista, kuten esimerkiksi, ettÀ Taylor Swift laittaa albumi ensi joulukuussa tai ensi kuukaudessa. Voit mikrobettiÀ siitÀ nyt. KyllÀ, vaikka se olisi suuri rahoitusmahdollisuus.
So it's like you didn't bounce the ball five times, and I bet that you would. Exactly. And of course, given the tremendous entitlement that infects so many people when they're online, it's like, so I have the right to berate you for that, as opposed to, so I should perhaps take a long, hard look at myself and reconsider my choices. And this is all... I mean, I first became aware of it several months ago. In the Financial Times, there was an interview with a guy, Tarek Mansour, who is the CEO of the prediction market, Kalshi. And he talked about...
The context of these things is, he said, we can financialize everything. Everything can be a tradable asset. The universe of what is tradable today versus what it can be is so small. Economic indicators, weather and climate, COVID, healthcare numbers, what Taylor Swift is going to do or not do, that can be applied to anything. Anything that has a difference in opinion can be traded someday.
So you traded there again, and a tradable asset, when you're really just saying everything is something someone will bet on, like whether or not it's going to, people used to bet on whether there'd be a white Christmas, and that's the same sort of tradable asset, is it? No, my quantifiable confidence that there will be a white Christmas is something that I'm offering you to buy from me.
TÀmÀ on kuin kun teimme Markit-episodin aiemmin Stuartin kanssa, ja hÀn sattui sieltÀ ja sanoi, ettÀ en ymmÀrrÀ, mitÀ ne ovat. KyllÀ, ja luulen, ettÀ se on tapahtunut. Luulen, ettÀ emme ole olleet olleet olleet ymmÀrtÀneet. KyllÀ, luulen, ettÀ se on oikeastaan oikeastaan.
that somehow is up there with the stock exchange. Yeah, but it's predicated on people who have poor impulse control, generally losing money that they can't always afford to lose, while a few rich people get richer. Exactly. What's been noticed is there's been a kind of uptick in big spikes in crypto bets on where the price of fuel will go, usually about 40 minutes or so before Trump...
tweets or social medias or truths. Things are going really well, they want a deal or I'm going to bomb them. So somebody somewhere seems to have a hand on what it is Trump is going to say, which will affect the actual market. And so someone is betting in advance.
The bond trading with the gambling side. Can you bet that your own bet on something might fall short? But if you've bet that the bet will fall short, you then can make more money. I don't know what I'm saying anymore. I'm trapped in some kind of loop, in which I'm pretty sure I'll make a lot of money. I'm considering offering you a handout, but I'm simultaneously backing towards the door.
Sorry about that. I mean, there are danger signs here, not just because of the suspicion that might be insider trading, but also, will there come a point where politicians actually make decisions on the basis of how the predictions markets are going? I mean, you can see the whole thing just like ossifying, because you can imagine...
President and Prime Minister are going, I'm going to go out and speak to the press, but depending on whether this door opens outwards or inwards as I go into the next room, the stock market might crash. So what do I do? Maybe I should just sit here forever. You could just see how a hundred years from now it will have emerged that no politician has done anything
KyllÀ, he ovat kaikki vain onnistuneet inertiöön ja eivÀt muuttuneet uudestaan. He ovat vain luottaneet, ettÀ he vain syrjÀÀvÀt tÀllaisen kemikaalisen suunnan, joka tarkoittaa, ettÀ he ovat elÀviÀ ja joten me voimme toivomaan heidÀt. Toivomaan. Toivomaan, mitÀ en tiedÀ. KyllÀ, kuinka paljon suuntaa ei tiedÀ. KyllÀ, kyllÀ, kyllÀ. Kuinka paljon suuntaa ei tiedÀ.
It's this tendency to try and see where we rank. Is it because actually we don't have stuff anymore? You know, I mean, we don't have... You know, kids growing up now don't necessarily have an album collection. They have playlists. You know, it's all intangible. So they don't have that sense of...
jotain konkreettista, jota he voivat nauttia. Kaikki on kyseessÀ. Kaikki musiikki ja filmit, joita katsoit, ovat yksilöitÀ. Mutta se on myös toimittavaa, eikö? Silloin olisit oikeassa, ettÀ olisit olemassa albumitutkimuksessa, mutta jos joku ei tullut kotiin,
Mutta muistan, kun COVID-luvun jÀlkeen ihmiset zoomiivat ja olivat poliitikkoja, niin oli aina paljon keskustelua siitÀ, mitÀ oli kirjassa ja kuinka monta kirjaa heillÀ oli. Mutta myös jotain kautta lukemisesta. TÀllÀ hetkellÀ on paljon kampanjoja, jotta ihmiset lukevat enemmÀn ja lapset ovat kiinnostuneita kirjoihin ja niin edelleen. Mutta sen jÀlkeen on nÀitÀ lukemisia. Olen tehnyt 57 kertaa tÀnÀÀn ja aion mennÀ 64 kertaa myöhemmin. Tuo tunne, ettÀ yritÀn kuantella.
TÀÀllÀ minulla on hieno aamu, mutta loppupuoli nÀyttÀÀ olevan sarkaistista. Se on kiinnostavaa, eikö se? Se on kiinnostavaa, eikö se? Se on kiinnostavaa, eikö se? Se on kiinnostavaa, eikö se?
Se oli Mik Jaggerin kuvia, kuten hÀn on nyt. MitÀ hÀn olisi aiemmin ollut? MitÀ Mik Jagger olisi aiemmin ollut? No, no, no. Mik Jaggerin kuvia aiemmin olisi Mik Jaggerin kuvia. Mutta sen takia oli se, ettÀ kaikki, mitÀ voisin nÀhdÀ, olivat kaivattuja kivuja kaikkialla. Ja ajattelin, ettÀ se on hieman ongelmaa. Mik Jagger. Mik Jagger on tekemÀnsÀ parhaansa. Mutta se oli tehty hÀnen suurta paperback-kolleksiin. KyllÀ.
Easy to tell he never worked in a bookshop, because I, of course, my first job in a bookshop, can read a book cover to cover with no sign that it's been touched and then put it straight back on the shelf. Also, you know, the current war in Iran or temporary excursion, I remember Donald Trump calling it many, many, many weeks ago. Many weeks ago. Temporary excursion. Yeah, like a day trip. Yes, 10,000 steps.
TÀmÀ kuulostaa niin hyvÀltÀ, eikö? TÀmÀ on nyt, ajattelen, yksi ensimmÀisistÀ, joissa ne, jotka tekevÀt tÀmÀn, ovat kÀyttÀneet gamingin ja sosiaalisen mediasta. Jaan. Jaan. Jaan. Jaan. Jaan. Jaan.
Kaikki Iranissa, jotka tekevÀt sosiaalisia mediaa, kÀyttÀvÀt AI-lego-elokuvia, vaikka niiden vahvistus ja vahvistus
KyllÀ, kyllÀ, kyllÀ. Se on itse asiassa ymmÀrtÀÀ, ei todellisuutta, mutta fiksiota. Ja erittÀin ennustettava kategoria fiksiota. Ja koska sinÀ olit tullut, ei vain siksi, koska en automaattisesti ajattele, ettÀ koska olet sinÀ, minÀ ajattelen klasiikkaa.