Arthur Kroeber

it would almost certainly share many of the characteristics of the Chinese Communist Party.

It would have a strong determination for China to be an independent geopolitical actor, taking care of its own security with very strong military so that it could defend itself against all of its real and perceived security threats.

It would be committed, as every Chinese government since the mid-19th century has been,

to maximizing the rate of technological progress and making sure that as much as possible of China's core technology needs were met by domestic production rather than imports, it would be very, very similar to what we have today.

So it's a fantasy to think that what we have a problem here is just this particular regime and you can just like get them to change their minds.

No, the sort of Chinese approach on this is very deeply rooted

in both the institutional cultural history of China itself

And its position – its geographical and geopolitical position in the world.

And so it's going to have interests that create a lot of friction and conflict with the perceived interests of the United States under any government.

And it's probably going to be quite successful at managing its economy because they've been very successful for many, many decades.

Yeah, we don't know for sure because there really isn't reliable public polling.

But a lot of people say that, and my perception is that that could well be true, that there is a lot.

And all you have to do is look at the Chinese internet, the blogosphere.

They don't have Twitter, but they have local equivalents.

There is a lot of unfettered nationalist, highly militaristic thinking there that the government spends most of its time keeping in check.

Every so often, they sort of unleash it because they're in a spat with Japan or whoever, and they –

They need to gin a popular opinion.

But mostly they try and tamp that down.

So a fully – a Chinese system that was fully representative of actual popular views, we don't know exactly what that might be.

But it could be very, very difficult to deal with.