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Austan Goolsbee

👤 Speaker
1016 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

The Best One Yet
🦅 “Fed Prez” — Interview with Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee on Money, Inflation, & When You Can Buy a House

That's the only knock.

The Best One Yet
🦅 “Fed Prez” — Interview with Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee on Money, Inflation, & When You Can Buy a House

And I think the combination of

The Best One Yet
🦅 “Fed Prez” — Interview with Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee on Money, Inflation, & When You Can Buy a House

One, we had the epic collapse of the economy in COVID, and it did not turn into a financial crisis.

The Best One Yet
🦅 “Fed Prez” — Interview with Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee on Money, Inflation, & When You Can Buy a House

Fair.

The Best One Yet
🦅 “Fed Prez” — Interview with Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee on Money, Inflation, & When You Can Buy a House

Number two, we had bank failure, Silicon Valley Bank, et cetera, after the Fed started raising rates quite significantly, and that didn't turn into a financial crisis or even a credit crunch.

The Best One Yet
🦅 “Fed Prez” — Interview with Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee on Money, Inflation, & When You Can Buy a House

And in 2023, going into 2024, inflation fell as much as it's ever fallen in a single year and there was no recession.

The Best One Yet
🦅 “Fed Prez” — Interview with Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee on Money, Inflation, & When You Can Buy a House

Each of those three things, many smart people said was impossible.

The Best One Yet
🦅 “Fed Prez” — Interview with Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee on Money, Inflation, & When You Can Buy a House

There was, in 2023, people were making fun of the idea that inflation could go down without there being a recession.

The Best One Yet
🦅 “Fed Prez” — Interview with Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee on Money, Inflation, & When You Can Buy a House

Larry Summers, you saw, said there will be an intense recession for five consecutive years before inflation will come down.

The Best One Yet
🦅 “Fed Prez” — Interview with Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee on Money, Inflation, & When You Can Buy a House

All three of those, any one of those would be a pretty strong accomplishment.

The Best One Yet
🦅 “Fed Prez” — Interview with Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee on Money, Inflation, & When You Can Buy a House

And then you add navigating through political pressures that are unlike any in modern memory.

The Best One Yet
🦅 “Fed Prez” — Interview with Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee on Money, Inflation, & When You Can Buy a House

That seems like a pretty compelling combination to me.

The Best One Yet
🦅 “Fed Prez” — Interview with Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee on Money, Inflation, & When You Can Buy a House

Look, I don't dispute that.

The Best One Yet
🦅 “Fed Prez” — Interview with Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee on Money, Inflation, & When You Can Buy a House

All I'll say is,

The Best One Yet
🦅 “Fed Prez” — Interview with Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee on Money, Inflation, & When You Can Buy a House

He wasn't the only one making the forecast that inflation was going to be transitory.

The Best One Yet
🦅 “Fed Prez” — Interview with Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee on Money, Inflation, & When You Can Buy a House

Right, right.

The Best One Yet
🦅 “Fed Prez” — Interview with Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee on Money, Inflation, & When You Can Buy a House

And when they decided to pivot, because I want to say again, I wasn't there.

The Best One Yet
🦅 “Fed Prez” — Interview with Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee on Money, Inflation, & When You Can Buy a House

I didn't do that.

The Best One Yet
🦅 “Fed Prez” — Interview with Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee on Money, Inflation, & When You Can Buy a House

But, look, I agreed with the professional forecasters and the markets were thinking that, as I was, I thought inflation would be –

The Best One Yet
🦅 “Fed Prez” — Interview with Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee on Money, Inflation, & When You Can Buy a House

Temporary because I thought a lot of it was coming from a wrecked supply chain and that the supply chain would heal quicker than it did.