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Austin Hughes

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
300 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Breakfast Business with Joe Lynam
Friday's business news review

And as I say, positive, but patchy.

Breakfast Business with Joe Lynam
Friday's business news review

Well, again, patchy and the market isn't sure what to make of them.

Breakfast Business with Joe Lynam
Friday's business news review

Jobs growth was a bit stronger than expected, up 119,000 on the month.

Breakfast Business with Joe Lynam
Friday's business news review

That's also running about 1% on the year, the same as here.

Breakfast Business with Joe Lynam
Friday's business news review

But there were downward revisions to August.

Breakfast Business with Joe Lynam
Friday's business news review

There was job losses in August.

Breakfast Business with Joe Lynam
Friday's business news review

And a lot of the strength in jobs was in areas like government and that which these numbers predate, the slowdown.

Breakfast Business with Joe Lynam
Friday's business news review

The unemployment rate ticked up there to 4.4%.

Breakfast Business with Joe Lynam
Friday's business news review

That's the highest in four years.

Breakfast Business with Joe Lynam
Friday's business news review

And the market is probably of a view that the jobs numbers aren't bad enough to make sure that the Fed cuts in December, but they're not good enough to entirely rule that out.

Breakfast Business with Joe Lynam
Friday's business news review

And in that regard, it's keeping the markets on a bit of a knife edge as to what happens next.

Breakfast Business with Joe Lynam
Friday's business news review

But the economy there, not going off a cliff.

Breakfast Business with Joe Lynam
Friday's business news review

Interestingly, Joe, in terms of that, when you look at the details there, non-Native Americans that had been a very strong element of the jobs growth, foreign-born workers, they're actually down over the last year, thanks to some of Mr. Trump's measures, and native-born American employment is up on the year.

Breakfast Business with Joe Lynam
Friday's business news review

contrasting elements across the world in terms of jobs market, but revealing of economies that are still in positive trend, but maybe not doing as well as had been hoped.

Breakfast Business with Joe Lynam
Friday's business news review

Yeah, their now cast for the third quarter is very strong, showing 3.7% increase.

Breakfast Business with Joe Lynam
Friday's business news review

Now, some of the numbers that we've seen since then have been, again, very patchy.

Breakfast Business with Joe Lynam
Friday's business news review

To my mind, I think, actually, when you look at the numbers over the last week or so, export growth, you're likely to see GDP could be as much as 15% higher this year, but the domestic economy not growing quite as strong.

Breakfast Business with Joe Lynam
Friday's business news review

And after these employment numbers,

Breakfast Business with Joe Lynam
Friday's business news review

I think their estimate for the third quarter of 3.7% rise in MDD looks a little bit strong.