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Azeem Azhar

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
6838 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
The method of invention, AI's new clock speed and why capital markets are confused

It's also the invention of a new method of invention.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
The method of invention, AI's new clock speed and why capital markets are confused

In a way, it looks in on itself differently

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
The method of invention, AI's new clock speed and why capital markets are confused

and can help us come up with new approaches to do new things, both in AI and in other domains.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
The method of invention, AI's new clock speed and why capital markets are confused

And what that means is that it will create things that will change the assumptions about how you structure firms, how industries take their shape, and ultimately where profits can be made.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
The method of invention, AI's new clock speed and why capital markets are confused

It's quite hard to imagine this because we're asking for so much to change that it is baked in assumptions we don't

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
The method of invention, AI's new clock speed and why capital markets are confused

really think about every day, but it will in some ways have that kind of impact.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
The method of invention, AI's new clock speed and why capital markets are confused

Let's take a look at the software market.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
The method of invention, AI's new clock speed and why capital markets are confused

So it's $155 billion a year, $160 billion a year spent on developers in a market that's worth probably a couple of trillion globally.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
The method of invention, AI's new clock speed and why capital markets are confused

Well, AI is enabling people like me now to write software for myself.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
The method of invention, AI's new clock speed and why capital markets are confused

And the coding tools market, which is only two years old, has already turned into a $3 billion revenue market.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
The method of invention, AI's new clock speed and why capital markets are confused

If you look at cursor and replit and chat and build and other types of things.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
The method of invention, AI's new clock speed and why capital markets are confused

So how big will that market get?

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
The method of invention, AI's new clock speed and why capital markets are confused

Will it, is the TAM $153 billion?

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
The method of invention, AI's new clock speed and why capital markets are confused

Because that's how much we spend on the people who construct the code.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
The method of invention, AI's new clock speed and why capital markets are confused

Or will the TAM get much, much larger?

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
The method of invention, AI's new clock speed and why capital markets are confused

Is my spend on these tools net new spend to a new expanding market rather than competing for the work that a developer might be doing somewhere else?

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
The method of invention, AI's new clock speed and why capital markets are confused

So what will we even call that market when it evolves?

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
The method of invention, AI's new clock speed and why capital markets are confused

I mean, it's taken a while for us to come up with a name for the market that Uber competes in or the market that Airbnb competes in.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
The method of invention, AI's new clock speed and why capital markets are confused

So we don't really know.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
The method of invention, AI's new clock speed and why capital markets are confused

We can see that the shape might change.