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Azeem Azhar

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
6414 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Inside the economics of OpenAI (exclusive research)

So the first thing I would say is there's clearly a path to success that emerges for OpenAI based on the work that we did.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Inside the economics of OpenAI (exclusive research)

One of the big drags is this 20% Microsoft cut they have to pay.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Inside the economics of OpenAI (exclusive research)

So they did this deal early on in order to get distribution and compute.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Inside the economics of OpenAI (exclusive research)

Actually, I think it was years ago, right before ChatGPT, where Microsoft took 20% of the sort of top line revenue.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Inside the economics of OpenAI (exclusive research)

And that drag does get in the way quite a lot of like an independent, successful business.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Inside the economics of OpenAI (exclusive research)

And that's going to be a commercial negotiation, as we've seen between Microsoft and OpenAI.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Inside the economics of OpenAI (exclusive research)

It's unlikely that Microsoft will, you know, shoot the prize pet on that journey.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Inside the economics of OpenAI (exclusive research)

And I think what I was able to therefore see was certain of the levers that they have to

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Inside the economics of OpenAI (exclusive research)

control on that journey.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Inside the economics of OpenAI (exclusive research)

As Jaime says, they're going to need a lot of money to get there.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Inside the economics of OpenAI (exclusive research)

I think the other thing, just as a, you know, as a contrast was we had often written about

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Inside the economics of OpenAI (exclusive research)

how OpenAI was trying to capture a lot of different fronts at the same time.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Inside the economics of OpenAI (exclusive research)

So it was trying to capture the sovereign national government front.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Inside the economics of OpenAI (exclusive research)

They were very early with their large compute infrastructure commitments through Stargate.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Inside the economics of OpenAI (exclusive research)

They wanted to get the enterprise.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Inside the economics of OpenAI (exclusive research)

They wanted to get universities.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Inside the economics of OpenAI (exclusive research)

They wanted to get consumers in lots of different ways.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Inside the economics of OpenAI (exclusive research)

And that often flew foul of actually how Y Combinator, which Sam used to run,

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Inside the economics of OpenAI (exclusive research)

would encourage founders to work, right?

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Inside the economics of OpenAI (exclusive research)

It's like, find a beachhead, stick to the beachhead, and then grow.