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Azeem Azhar

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
6838 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
The demand for infinite compute

What do I mean by infinite demand?

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
The demand for infinite compute

I don't mean that every atom in the universe will be enlisted for computing, but I'm sure a science fiction writer out there has got a story

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
The demand for infinite compute

on just that subject.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
The demand for infinite compute

What I mean is practically unlimited, that at each turn of the screw,

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
The demand for infinite compute

Better chips, more sensors, more data, improved algorithms.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
The demand for infinite compute

We find new things that we want to compute in business, in science, in research, in entertainment.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
The demand for infinite compute

Better materials, better routings, more efficient stock portfolios.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
The demand for infinite compute

And of course, that unending array of consumer uses.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
The demand for infinite compute

We might think that optimizations...

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
The demand for infinite compute

think about DeepSeq will help.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
The demand for infinite compute

The optimizations like DeepSeq, which reduce the amount of computing you need to get the output that you want, would actually be a break on the amount of compute that is demanded in the global economy.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
The demand for infinite compute

But as we saw, once you make

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
The demand for infinite compute

the output cheaper, you increase the demand for it.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
The demand for infinite compute

It's a Jevons paradox.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
The demand for infinite compute

It's that positive elasticity of demand that I talked about.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
The demand for infinite compute

Because as the outputs become cheaper, you widen up the range of use cases that were previously too expensive to attempt.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
The demand for infinite compute

They weren't economically feasible and a software optimization made them more cheap.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
The demand for infinite compute

They crossed the break-even point.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
The demand for infinite compute

And so we then created new tasks for them.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
The demand for infinite compute

And I think that's really important to understand that, of course, optimizations and efficiencies are really, really desirable.