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Azeem Azhar

đŸ‘€ Speaker
6838 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Inside the US–China decoupling: What’s really at stake (AI, rare earths, Taiwan, trade)

You can compete in other areas, but you want to be soup to nuts in that area.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Inside the US–China decoupling: What’s really at stake (AI, rare earths, Taiwan, trade)

And if you want to have systems change, it's going to be messy, especially given that there were all these interrelationships that you're working from.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Inside the US–China decoupling: What’s really at stake (AI, rare earths, Taiwan, trade)

um and i think maybe also she is more ambitious he is more excited to develop a higher degree of resilience as well as to weaponize the interdependence that china has vis-a-vis the rest of the world there is this word that goes around which is sovereignty uh and it's appeared in google trends far more in the last two years than it did in the previous 50 and of course there's a very legalistic formal term uh meaning for the word sovereignty but there's also

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Inside the US–China decoupling: What’s really at stake (AI, rare earths, Taiwan, trade)

vibe-based sovereignty, which kind of means we can sort of make our own decisions.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Inside the US–China decoupling: What’s really at stake (AI, rare earths, Taiwan, trade)

And of course, lots of countries are talking about sovereign AI and sovereign energy and sovereign this and sovereign that.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Inside the US–China decoupling: What’s really at stake (AI, rare earths, Taiwan, trade)

In truth, there are only two countries in the world that have the depth and the capacity, the dynamism to achieve that vibe-based sovereignty in any real way.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Inside the US–China decoupling: What’s really at stake (AI, rare earths, Taiwan, trade)

But even they, it seems, are quite dependent on each other.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Inside the US–China decoupling: What’s really at stake (AI, rare earths, Taiwan, trade)

Totally.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Inside the US–China decoupling: What’s really at stake (AI, rare earths, Taiwan, trade)

Okay.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Inside the US–China decoupling: What’s really at stake (AI, rare earths, Taiwan, trade)

Absolutely.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Inside the US–China decoupling: What’s really at stake (AI, rare earths, Taiwan, trade)

So let's talk about AI then, because of course, AI is running on the chips.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Inside the US–China decoupling: What’s really at stake (AI, rare earths, Taiwan, trade)

Let's give the received wisdom right now.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Inside the US–China decoupling: What’s really at stake (AI, rare earths, Taiwan, trade)

So the received wisdom is that the US leads in the frontier, that the US foundation model labs are brilliant.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Inside the US–China decoupling: What’s really at stake (AI, rare earths, Taiwan, trade)

by and large chasing after the machine god that is AGI or ASI, and that the US is highly constrained by some of its physical infrastructure, so the power systems and so on.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Inside the US–China decoupling: What’s really at stake (AI, rare earths, Taiwan, trade)

And on the other hand, China is doing really well with open source models.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Inside the US–China decoupling: What’s really at stake (AI, rare earths, Taiwan, trade)

It has abundant power capacity, and the open source models are getting better and better.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Inside the US–China decoupling: What’s really at stake (AI, rare earths, Taiwan, trade)

But critically, the Chinese state-civil enterprise fusion is all about

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Inside the US–China decoupling: What’s really at stake (AI, rare earths, Taiwan, trade)

deployment and that these are two entirely different approaches to AI.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Inside the US–China decoupling: What’s really at stake (AI, rare earths, Taiwan, trade)

I think that's the received wisdom.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Inside the US–China decoupling: What’s really at stake (AI, rare earths, Taiwan, trade)

Is that right?