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Azeem Azhar

👤 Speaker
6819 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Plain English with Derek Thompson
Everybody Thinks AI Is a Bubble. What If They’re Wrong?

Can we really see how far the GPUs have depreciated?

Plain English with Derek Thompson
Everybody Thinks AI Is a Bubble. What If They’re Wrong?

Because if we can't, then that opacity allows all sorts of shenanigans to take place.

Plain English with Derek Thompson
Everybody Thinks AI Is a Bubble. What If They’re Wrong?

And when you look at the way in which these booms turn to bubbles and bust, and I did do some analysis on this, out of the 18 busts that I had enough data to really drill into, the funding quality was the trigger in nine of them.

Plain English with Derek Thompson
Everybody Thinks AI Is a Bubble. What If They’re Wrong?

It was the stressor.

Plain English with Derek Thompson
Everybody Thinks AI Is a Bubble. What If They’re Wrong?

that broke in half of them.

Plain English with Derek Thompson
Everybody Thinks AI Is a Bubble. What If They’re Wrong?

And sometimes it was out and out illegality.

Plain English with Derek Thompson
Everybody Thinks AI Is a Bubble. What If They’re Wrong?

Sometimes it was just that you couldn't see where the risk had gone, as we found with a global financial crisis.

Plain English with Derek Thompson
Everybody Thinks AI Is a Bubble. What If They’re Wrong?

So this is definitely one of the gauges that we need to keep an eye on and hope that the capital markets will do that at this moment where there's probably no one else to look to to keep everyone honest.

Plain English with Derek Thompson
Everybody Thinks AI Is a Bubble. What If They’re Wrong?

I think that's a very, very reasonable summary.

Plain English with Derek Thompson
Everybody Thinks AI Is a Bubble. What If They’re Wrong?

The gauge that matters most is revenue growth.

Plain English with Derek Thompson
Everybody Thinks AI Is a Bubble. What If They’re Wrong?

It is the signal that people want this.

Plain English with Derek Thompson
Everybody Thinks AI Is a Bubble. What If They’re Wrong?

It's the signal that we can monetize it.

Plain English with Derek Thompson
Everybody Thinks AI Is a Bubble. What If They’re Wrong?

And that's the one I'm trying to keep my eyes on and all the little ways that we can, because of course, these are mostly private companies.

Plain English with Derek Thompson
Everybody Thinks AI Is a Bubble. What If They’re Wrong?

And if revenue growth doesn't show up, then we are in a pets.com or a

Plain English with Derek Thompson
Everybody Thinks AI Is a Bubble. What If They’re Wrong?

telecom bubble moment where we've built infrastructure that might one day be useful that we can't fill today.

Plain English with Derek Thompson
Everybody Thinks AI Is a Bubble. What If They’re Wrong?

And that's often the story of these infrastructure build-outs.

Plain English with Derek Thompson
Everybody Thinks AI Is a Bubble. What If They’re Wrong?

In a funny way, we might be grateful for it.

Plain English with Derek Thompson
Everybody Thinks AI Is a Bubble. What If They’re Wrong?

Of course, there will be stock market prices going down, but what will have happened is that there will be a lot of GPU infrastructure that is out there, computing infrastructure that's out there that companies, organizations with less money could pick up at fire sale prices.

Plain English with Derek Thompson
Everybody Thinks AI Is a Bubble. What If They’re Wrong?

And those assets will go to those smaller players who might have newer approaches.

Plain English with Derek Thompson
Everybody Thinks AI Is a Bubble. What If They’re Wrong?

They may prefer open source.