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Azeem Azhar

πŸ‘€ Speaker
6819 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Why GPT-5 was never going to impress you

People say, hey, that's just computation.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Why GPT-5 was never going to impress you

And that's what's happening.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Why GPT-5 was never going to impress you

We're moving these goalposts.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Why GPT-5 was never going to impress you

I think that if you took the capabilities of GPT-5 and dropped them into that 2014 Turing test challenge at the Royal Institution, people would have had their minds absolutely blown.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Why GPT-5 was never going to impress you

But now it's just seen as a small improvement from something like 03.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Why GPT-5 was never going to impress you

Now, the second paradox is the negative space paradox.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Why GPT-5 was never going to impress you

Now, that sounds all fancy, but it is more subtle.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Why GPT-5 was never going to impress you

You've probably lived through it, experienced it yourself.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Why GPT-5 was never going to impress you

I mean, consider flying.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Why GPT-5 was never going to impress you

When people first got access to transatlantic flights in the 1930s, it was really remarkable.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Why GPT-5 was never going to impress you

No more five-day steaming across the Atlantic.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Why GPT-5 was never going to impress you

But within a few years, passengers were complaining about the time it took, the comforts on board and the food that they were being served.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Why GPT-5 was never going to impress you

And so the paradox of negative space is that progress makes the gaps stand out much more.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Why GPT-5 was never going to impress you

And I think for many people who are using large language models today through these chatbots, there are these concrete contrasts.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Why GPT-5 was never going to impress you

Models have got faster.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Why GPT-5 was never going to impress you

They've become more reliable, better at using tools.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Why GPT-5 was never going to impress you

They are hallucinating less.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Why GPT-5 was never going to impress you

You can more reliably get them to search the web and extract information for you.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Why GPT-5 was never going to impress you

But they still lack a whole range of capabilities, whether it is long-term memory about you, whether it's actually actively learning from your experiences.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Why GPT-5 was never going to impress you

And you also get a sense that maybe they don't generalize as well as a real intelligence would.