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Azeem Azhar

πŸ‘€ Speaker
6819 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
My OpenAI thought experiment: $500B to $1.5T?

So complex that you have to be a trained tax expert to use it.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
My OpenAI thought experiment: $500B to $1.5T?

And I want you to just hold those two use cases in mind and think about the range, the incredible range that this technology is actually delivering on today.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
My OpenAI thought experiment: $500B to $1.5T?

For all its shortcomings, growing hallucinations, inability to be deterministic, to be a bit sycophantic, sometimes lumbering and slow, it's got that range.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
My OpenAI thought experiment: $500B to $1.5T?

And so when we think about will OpenAI be able to compete in the enterprise space, even though it's got this very strong consumer proposition,

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
My OpenAI thought experiment: $500B to $1.5T?

I think we need to look at that and say, well, maybe the past view of serving two masters being too difficult doesn't hold as much.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
My OpenAI thought experiment: $500B to $1.5T?

So there's another question, which is, can we really tell the difference between any of these models in a double blind?

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
My OpenAI thought experiment: $500B to $1.5T?

And if you can't, aren't they already commodities, in which case they'll compete on price?

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
My OpenAI thought experiment: $500B to $1.5T?

I think that's a great question.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
My OpenAI thought experiment: $500B to $1.5T?

On the consumer side, it doesn't matter.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
My OpenAI thought experiment: $500B to $1.5T?

People are locked in, right?

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
My OpenAI thought experiment: $500B to $1.5T?

They are using ChatGPT in the same way that they used iPhones rather than the Android device.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
My OpenAI thought experiment: $500B to $1.5T?

And so I think on the consumer side of the business, the fact that they own the word for it will continue to help them for many, many years to come.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
My OpenAI thought experiment: $500B to $1.5T?

On the business side, I think it's a really fair question that

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
My OpenAI thought experiment: $500B to $1.5T?

For many use cases, models will end up super serving that use case.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
My OpenAI thought experiment: $500B to $1.5T?

If you need to do something really simple, like get a summary of a meeting, you were probably already at the point where the models are just generally good enough to do that in the same way that vision models a few years ago approached 99% accuracy.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
My OpenAI thought experiment: $500B to $1.5T?

Actually, I've made that number up, but they exceeded human accuracy.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
My OpenAI thought experiment: $500B to $1.5T?

Let's think about what that means for models.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
My OpenAI thought experiment: $500B to $1.5T?

I mean, the truth is I can tell the difference between

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
My OpenAI thought experiment: $500B to $1.5T?

a ChatGPT output and a Gemini output and a Claude output.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
My OpenAI thought experiment: $500B to $1.5T?

Maybe it's because of the custom prompt I've put in ChatGPT.