Azeem Azhar
π€ SpeakerAppearances Over Time
Podcast Appearances
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And I'll catch you next time.
So let's get started, though, with marking my work for this year.
So the first prediction was that there would be no AI wall.
There was this battle between whether scaling AI models was still a strategy that would work, that would deliver results, whether they could be actually even built to that size or not.
My second prediction was about the speed of deployments.
making certain predictions about how fast things would spread and what would happen to the price of tokens.
I made a prediction that bots would out-talk humans this year in the production of natural language.
I also predicted that Waymo would overtake Uber in San Francisco.
I noted that I expected climate extremes to intensify significantly, and that alongside this, and despite the change in the political environment, renewable deployment, particularly of solar, would continue to surprise to the upside.
And alongside that, that again, despite changes to the political environment, electric vehicles would significantly shift up a gear in their markets.
So there were seven predictions, and I had some watch list themes around geopolitical volatility, demographic decline, and climate and capital, which I didn't have strong tests against.
But let's start with the first one, which was that there would be no AI wall.
And I said, look, research is accelerating, not plateauing.