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Azeem Azhar

πŸ‘€ Speaker
6819 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
2025 AI reality check: Are we in a bubble?

They hugely, hugely over-hired in and around COVID.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
2025 AI reality check: Are we in a bubble?

And of course, naturally, as the market changes, as you see growth in different areas, they end up trimming their sales.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
2025 AI reality check: Are we in a bubble?

So it's hard to interpret at this point what's going on.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
2025 AI reality check: Are we in a bubble?

But it wasn't just Satya.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
2025 AI reality check: Are we in a bubble?

Sundar Pichai from Google saying about a third of all code is AI generated.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
2025 AI reality check: Are we in a bubble?

Andy Jassy from the CEO of Amazon

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
2025 AI reality check: Are we in a bubble?

saying that AI is going to lead to fewer jobs overall.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
2025 AI reality check: Are we in a bubble?

And just in the last couple of weeks, Amazon passing a million humanoid robots.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
2025 AI reality check: Are we in a bubble?

And I think that was that significance that it's as many humanoid robots or robots, not all humanoid, pardon me, as there are people.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
2025 AI reality check: Are we in a bubble?

It's not, of course, just the tech companies.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
2025 AI reality check: Are we in a bubble?

So Jim Farley, who is the CEO of Ford, he's a guy I really like, he's a very good straight talker, been very, very authentic about the capability of Chinese electric vehicles, has recently said, look, he thinks AI could eliminate up to 50% of current white-collar jobs.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
2025 AI reality check: Are we in a bubble?

And Jamie Diamond from JP Morgan has anticipated this 10% reduction in headcount due to AI tools.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
2025 AI reality check: Are we in a bubble?

So that

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
2025 AI reality check: Are we in a bubble?

area was not something I put in a prediction about, and that's remiss of me.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
2025 AI reality check: Are we in a bubble?

So to my readers and to listeners, I apologize for missing that out.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
2025 AI reality check: Are we in a bubble?

The thing that I would say on that particular question is, of course, we're going to talk about it over the summer.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
2025 AI reality check: Are we in a bubble?

We've got a couple of really good essays coming out on that topic.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
2025 AI reality check: Are we in a bubble?

But the other thing to note is, so I've run a model, I haven't had a chance to write it up yet, where I looked at the automation of several classes of white-collar desk work, from invoice processing to payroll, accounts receivable, HR, basic legal drafting.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
2025 AI reality check: Are we in a bubble?

And I looked at the volume of work that was done in 1945 in those areas, in 1975, 2000, 2025.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
2025 AI reality check: Are we in a bubble?

And you can say one thing coming out of this, and I'm rather preempting what I will write when I finally get around to writing this, which is that the amount of work that is done in those categories by automations today exceeds the amount of work done in those categories by humans in 1945.