Azeem Azhar
๐ค SpeakerAppearances Over Time
Podcast Appearances
And I think that once that realization moves into Main Street, which it will in the next two years, or parts of Main Street, we will just see the usage grow and grow.
There's something that the market has done, which reflects the work that we did, which is that if you look at the open AI stack of affiliated public companies, so the oracles and so on, they have really underperformed relative to the Google anthropic stack of affiliated public companies.
And there's been a divergence since, I think it was really when Sam talked about needing a trillion dollars or something, which he may have done last summer.
I found it really helpful that we had gone and done this x-ray of this company because it helped me see what I think some of the choices are.
So the first thing I would say is there's clearly a path to success that emerges for OpenAI based on the work that we did.
One of the big drags is this 20% Microsoft cut they have to pay.
So they did this deal early on in order to get distribution and compute.
Actually, I think it was years ago, right before ChatGPT, where Microsoft took 20% of the sort of top line revenue.
And that drag does get in the way quite a lot of like an independent, successful business.
And that's going to be a commercial negotiation, as we've seen between Microsoft and OpenAI.
It's unlikely that Microsoft will, you know, shoot the prize pet on that journey.
And I think what I was able to therefore see was certain of the levers that they have to
control on that journey.
As Jaime says, they're going to need a lot of money to get there.
I think the other thing, just as a, you know, as a contrast was we had often written about
how OpenAI was trying to capture a lot of different fronts at the same time.
So it was trying to capture the sovereign national government front.
They were very early with their large compute infrastructure commitments through Stargate.
They wanted to get the enterprise.
They wanted to get universities.