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Azeem Azhar

👤 Speaker
5487 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Anthropic’s Head of Economics on AI adoption data, Claude Code, the burden of knowledge & the next generation of experts

And now it took five years for everyone to transition.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Anthropic’s Head of Economics on AI adoption data, Claude Code, the burden of knowledge & the next generation of experts

If you can compress any part of that process, you can deliver enormous consumer benefit, but it may not show up in GDP.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Anthropic’s Head of Economics on AI adoption data, Claude Code, the burden of knowledge & the next generation of experts

it may just show up in better services.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Anthropic’s Head of Economics on AI adoption data, Claude Code, the burden of knowledge & the next generation of experts

Well, I gave you the excitable bull case there, but there is also the bear case that you alluded to through the Ben Jones paper, which makes me think of a year or so ago, Microsoft had a foundation model look at catalysts.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Anthropic’s Head of Economics on AI adoption data, Claude Code, the burden of knowledge & the next generation of experts

And I think they

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Anthropic’s Head of Economics on AI adoption data, Claude Code, the burden of knowledge & the next generation of experts

came up with 35 million materials in one afternoon.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Anthropic’s Head of Economics on AI adoption data, Claude Code, the burden of knowledge & the next generation of experts

And I thought back to Mitlach, who was Fritz Haber's co-worker on the Haber-Bosch process, who painstakingly looked at 2,500 compounds over the course of many, many months.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Anthropic’s Head of Economics on AI adoption data, Claude Code, the burden of knowledge & the next generation of experts

And so we moved from a

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Anthropic’s Head of Economics on AI adoption data, Claude Code, the burden of knowledge & the next generation of experts

discovery process to actually a sifting and verification bottleneck, which those bottlenecks maybe require new skills, they might require new regulation, they might require sociological changes.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Anthropic’s Head of Economics on AI adoption data, Claude Code, the burden of knowledge & the next generation of experts

And so it might take quite a long time to work all your way through the system.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Anthropic’s Head of Economics on AI adoption data, Claude Code, the burden of knowledge & the next generation of experts

You know, you just essentially move the bottleneck from discovery or work done to

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Anthropic’s Head of Economics on AI adoption data, Claude Code, the burden of knowledge & the next generation of experts

sorting or verification.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Anthropic’s Head of Economics on AI adoption data, Claude Code, the burden of knowledge & the next generation of experts

And that might just slow us down again, and it becomes not so much the burden of knowledge, but the burden of sifting.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Anthropic’s Head of Economics on AI adoption data, Claude Code, the burden of knowledge & the next generation of experts

I think that this is such a good point for me, if I may, to bring in a question that came from Claude 4.5 Opus on specifically this issue.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Anthropic’s Head of Economics on AI adoption data, Claude Code, the burden of knowledge & the next generation of experts

So I'm just going to scroll up to my notes and just pull it out.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Anthropic’s Head of Economics on AI adoption data, Claude Code, the burden of knowledge & the next generation of experts

So this was a super interesting point that it made.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Anthropic’s Head of Economics on AI adoption data, Claude Code, the burden of knowledge & the next generation of experts

And it said, look, if you take a lawyer and you automate 90% of a lawyer's task, the 10% of the task that is remaining has all the liability sitting on it.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Anthropic’s Head of Economics on AI adoption data, Claude Code, the burden of knowledge & the next generation of experts

And so the question is whether you really, who benefits in that circumstances?

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Anthropic’s Head of Economics on AI adoption data, Claude Code, the burden of knowledge & the next generation of experts

I mean, you know, I never wanted to be a lawyer, but a job where the only thing you do is put your neck on the line for the bit that the machine can't do doesn't feel very, very nice.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Anthropic’s Head of Economics on AI adoption data, Claude Code, the burden of knowledge & the next generation of experts

So court question was really relating to that, which was if we end up getting 90% of the way through, you know, automation,